The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Spartak Trnava 19.5%
Draw 27.6%
Raków Częstochowa 52.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31%
28.6%
40.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.1%
28.7%
40.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spartak Trnava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Spartak Trnava's form might have worsened.
Raków Częstochowa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Raków Częstochowa's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Trnava than the current prediction. (+11.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Spartak Trnava, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (-12.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Raków Częstochowa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
7.5%
10%
82.5%
Spartak Trnava - Raków Częstochowa Predictions
Users Predictions:
40 users predict this event. Trnava will win (votes: 3 - 7.5%). Raków will win (votes: 33 - 82.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 10%). Confidence interval (95%) for Raków: 70.7% – 94.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
1st leg.
Trnava is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Raków is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Trnava could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.