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Current Win Probability
Spartak Varna 16.1%
Draw 23%
Ludogorets Razgrad 60.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
14.2%
22.2%
63.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
13.6%
21.3%
66.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spartak Varna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
Ludogorets Razgrad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Varna than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ludogorets Razgrad than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ludogorets Razgrad could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Spartak Varna - Ludogorets Razgrad Predictions
Users Predictions:
Ludogorets Razgrad will win
(7 of 7 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Iliev P. (G) 76. Valverde D. 44. Granchov A. 45. Tshitoku J. 4. Ivanov B. 17. Marinov T. 72. Oliveira V. 77. Ivanov A. 11. Hanne B. 7. Bua 70. Ahmedov A.
39. Bonmann H. (G) 2. Andersson J. 15. Kurtulus E. 42. Shishkov S. 3. Nedyalkov A. 26. Kaloc F. 23. Duarte D. 20. Camara A. 18. Chochev I. 7. Salido Tajero A. 12. Rwan Cruz
Substitutes
9. Chunchukov T. 80. Gomes A. 10. Jota Lopes 3. Juric-Petrasilo M. 19. Major S. 82. Silva T. 6. Sousa R. 99. Trifonov G. 1. Victor P. (G)
4. Abdelmaguid H. 11. Caio Vidal 9. Duah K. 40. Marinov A. 55. Nachmias I. 1. Padt S. (G) 22. Polendakov M. 17. Son 14. Stanic P. 5. Terziev G. 82. Yordanov I.
Coaches
Petrov Y.
Reis T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Ivanov B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', Caio Vidal ↓, Marinov A. ↑,
57', Jota Lopes ↓, Gomes A. ↑,
59', Valverde D. 🟨,
65', 1 - 0, Major S. ⚽,
68', 1 - 1, Shishkov S. ⚽,
78', Camara A. ↓, Son ↑,
78', Andersson J. ↓, Erick Marcus ↑,
82', Major S. ↓, Marinov T. ↑,
82', Ahmedov A. ↓, Chunchukov T. ↑,
82', Valverde D. ↓, Lozev D. ↑,
84', Duah K. ↓, Bile E. ↑,
85', Duarte D. 🟨,
86', Marinov T. 🟨,
89', Chunchukov T. 🟨,
90', Ivanov A. ↓, Trifonov G. ↑,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ efbet League (Championship Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spartak Varna won 0.
In recent matches, Spartak Varna has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Ludogorets is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Spartak Varna may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Ludogorets has had a series of home games.
In this match, Ludogorets is considered a favorite.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Spartak Varna won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 6:21. (average 0.8:2.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Spartak Varna won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:11. (average 0.8:2.8).
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Iliev P. (G) 
Valverde D. 
Tshitoku J. 
Oliveira V. 
Bua 
Bonmann H. (G) 
Andersson J. 
Kaloc F. 
Duarte D. 
Camara A. 
Gomes A. 
Juric-Petrasilo M. 
Major S. 
Abdelmaguid H. 
Duah K. 
Nachmias I. 
Stanic P. 
