Match Info
National League North - Round 39Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday
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Merthyr Town |
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Spennymoor Town |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.91 |
3.9 |
3 |
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2 |
3.7 |
3.1 |
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1.97 |
3.81 |
3.38 |
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1.97 |
3.95 |
3.25 |
Watch |
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1.95 |
3.75 |
3.2 |
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1.99 |
4.06 |
3.13 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.97 ↓ (1.98) |
3.86 ↑ (3.85) |
3.18 ↑ (3.06) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
- The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Merthyr Town 47% | Draw 23.9% | Spennymoor Town 29.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Merthyr Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Spennymoor Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Merthyr Town than the current prediction. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spennymoor Town than the current prediction. (+2.2%)Merthyr Town - Spennymoor Town Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Spennymoor (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Rai K. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 47', 2 - 0, Cox C. ⚽,
- 53', 2 - 1, Dolan M. ⚽,
- 71', 2 - 2, Mondal J. ⚽,
- 90+1', 2 - 3, Taylor G. ⚽,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 13).Merthyr has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).Spennymoor has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1). Merthyr is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Merthyr won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:6.
Outrights of English National League North for now
Merthyr Town: 1.46% Spennymoor: 0.73%
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 13 | Merthyr Town | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 13 |
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| 23 | Spennymoor | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11:21 | -10 | 7 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;