Match Info

National League North - Round 25

Date: 3 February 2026, Tuesday


	Spennymoor Town		AFC Telford United

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.6	2.3
	2.58	3.5	2.42
	2.57	3.59	2.42
	2.56	3.81	2.4	Watch
	2.5	3.4	2.5
	2.54	3.38	2.38
	2.54	3.5	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.17)	3.54 ↓ (3.58)	2.41 ↓ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spennymoor Town
35.9%

Draw
25.9%

AFC Telford United
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

25.9%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

26.2%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spennymoor Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Spennymoor Town's form might have worsened.

AFC Telford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting AFC Telford United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spennymoor Town than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Spennymoor Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Telford United than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for AFC Telford United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Spennymoor Town - AFC Telford United Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Telford (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
56', 0 - 1, Walker R. ⚽,
90+1', 0 - 2, Williams C. ⚽,

Preview

Postponed due to frozen pitch.

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 9 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spennymoor won 1.

Spennymoor has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Telford is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Spennymoor might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Spennymoor won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 17:29. (average 1.1:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Spennymoor won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.6:1.9).

Outrights of English National League North for now

Spennymoor: 0.73%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
21	AFC Telford	10	2	3	5	8:15	-7	9
23	Spennymoor	10	1	4	5	11:21	-10	7

Last Results with these Odds

Spennymoor Town - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 42.79%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spennymoor Town
English National League North
31.01.26	Buxton - Spennymoor Town	1:2 ✺
20.01.26	Spennymoor Town - Chester	1:2 ✺
17.01.26	Spennymoor Town - Radcliffe	2:3 ✺
30.12.25	Spennymoor Town - Scarborough Athletic	1:1 ✺
26.12.25	South Shields - Spennymoor Town	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLLTL
- AFC Telford United
English FA Trophy
31.01.26	AFC Telford United - Yeovil Town	0:2 ✺
English National League North
27.01.26	Merthyr Town - AFC Telford United	1:4 ✺
24.01.26	AFC Telford United - King`s Lynn Town	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
20.01.26	Hornchurch - AFC Telford United	1:2 ✺
English National League North
17.01.26	Curzon Ashton - AFC Telford United	0:8 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
30.08.25	AFC Telford United - Spennymoor Town	3:0
07.01.23	AFC Telford United - Spennymoor Town	1:1
13.08.22	Spennymoor Town - AFC Telford United	1:1
19.03.22	AFC Telford United - Spennymoor Town	2:0
09.10.21	Spennymoor Town - AFC Telford United	1:0
06.02.21	AFC Telford United - Spennymoor Town	Canceled
29.02.20	Spennymoor Town - AFC Telford United	3:3

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