Match Info

ENGLAND: National League North - Round 32

Date: 18 February 2025, Tuesday


	Farsley		Southport

	1	X	2
	17	7.5	1.11
	15	7	1.13
	25.49	8.37	1.11
	23.67	7.04	1.14	Watch
	15	6	1.18
	25	8.9	1.07
	16	7.4	1.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	19.59 ↑ (4.42)	7.46 ↑ (3.58)	1.12 ↓ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Farsley
4.7%

Draw
12.5%

Southport
82.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.6%

25.5%

53.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1%

23.8%

50.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Farsley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Farsley's form might have worsened.

Southport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+28.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Southport's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Farsley than the current prediction. (+17.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Farsley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southport than the current prediction. (-32.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Southport, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Farsley - Southport Predictions

Users Predictions: Southport will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Angus D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
85', 0 - 2, Morgan D. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Magdeburg won 2.

Aalborg is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Magdeburg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Magdeburg will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Magdeburg won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 199:191 (average 28.4:27.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Magdeburg won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 109:103 (average 27.3:25.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Farsley AFC
English National League North
15.02.25	Leamington - Farsley	3:0 ✺
08.02.25	Farsley - Needham Market	1:6 ✺
04.02.25	Peterborough Sports - Farsley	2:0 ✺
31.01.25	Farsley - Alfreton Town	1:4 ✺
28.01.25	Farsley - Marine	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLT
- Southport
English National League North
15.02.25	Southport - Darlington	0:0 ✺
08.02.25	Radcliffe - Southport	4:1 ✺
04.02.25	Alfreton Town - Southport	0:2 ✺
01.02.25	Buxton - Southport	2:1 ✺
28.01.25	Southport - Spennymoor Town	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
03.09.24	Southport - Farsley	1:1
29.03.24	Farsley - Southport	0:0
14.11.23	Southport - Farsley	1:1
12.11.22	Southport - Farsley	4:0
15.10.22	Farsley - Southport	0:3
18.04.22	Farsley - Southport	2:0
28.12.21	Southport - Farsley	4:0

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