The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Spezia 17.1%
Draw 25.7%
Juventus 57.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
16.6%
24.2%
59.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
16.5%
24.1%
59.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
Juventus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventus than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
17.1%
2.4%
80.5%
Spezia - Juventus Predictions
Users Predictions:
Juventus will win
(33 of 41 users predict this - 80.49%). Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 92.62%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 and 11).
Spezia has the most likely position - 18 (23.79%), has project points - 34, has currently - 19, has a chance of relegated (40%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Juventus has the most likely position - 7 (19.31%), has project points - 55, has currently - 29, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (3%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality57, small importance29, match rating43. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Spezia has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Juventus is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Juventus could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Juventus have a series of home games.
In this match Juventus is a favorite.
There will not play in Spezia: Bastoni S.
(Injury)
Esposito Sa.
(Red Card)
Kovalenko V.
(Muscle Injury)
Moutinho J.
(Injury)
Sala J.
(Injury)
Zoet J.
(Knee Injury)
Zurkowski S.
(Injury)
There will not play in Juventus: Bremer
(Yellow Cards)
Ihattaren M.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Milik A.
(Thigh Injury)
Miretti F.
(Ankle Injury)
Peeters D.
(Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Spezia: Nzola M.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Juventus: Kaio Jorge
(Knee Injury)
Pogba P.
(Muscle Injury)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Spezia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 3-13.
Including matches at home between the teams Spezia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-7.
Africa
Australia
Bulgaria
Croatia
Czech-republic
Finland
France
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United-kingdom
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