The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bologna 50.8%
Draw 28.2%
Spezia 21%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.2%
28.8%
23%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.6%
28.6%
22.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bologna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
Spezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
71.4%
19.8%
8.8%
Bologna - Spezia Predictions
Users Predictions:
91 users predict this event. Bologna will win (votes: 65 - 71.4%). Spezia will win (votes: 8 - 8.8%). It will Tie (votes: 18 - 19.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Bologna: 62.1% โ 80.7%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 12 and 15).
Bologna has the most likely position - 12 (12.9%), has project points - 46, has currently - 23, has a very small chance of relegated (3%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Spezia has the most likely position - 17 (16.34%), has project points - 37, has currently - 18, has a chance of relegated (29%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality53, small importance26, match rating39. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Bologna won 3.
Bologna is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Spezia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match Bologna is a favorite.
There will not play in Bologna: Arnautovic M.
(Injury)
Bagnolini N.
(Shoulder Injury)
Bonifazi K.
(Knee Injury)
De Silvestri L.
(Injury)
Sansone N.
(Foot Injury)
There will not play in Spezia: Bastoni S.
(Injury)
Zoet J.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Bologna: Medel G.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Spezia: Nzola M.
(Injury)
Last 9 head-to-head matches Bologna won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15-13.
Including matches at home between the teams Bologna won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-8.
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