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Current Win Probability
Spezia 17.7%
Draw 26.6%
Roma 55.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
19%
25.1%
56%
Our Initial ML Estimation
18.3%
24.1%
58.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
Roma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roma than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
14.1%
9.9%
76.1%
Spezia - Roma Predictions
Users Predictions:
71 users predict this event. Spezia will win (votes: 10 - 14.1%). Roma will win (votes: 54 - 76.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 9.9%). Confidence interval (95%) for Roma: 66.2% โ 86%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 15 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Group Stage)).
Spezia has the most likely position - 17 (13.66%), has project points - 38, has currently - 18, has a chance of relegated (25%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Roma has the most likely position - 4 (21.99%), has project points - 68, has currently - 34, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of qualify for ucl (49%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).
This event has quality59, importance49, match rating54. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Spezia won 1.
Recent matches Spezia is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Roma in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Spezia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Roma have a series of home games.
In this match Roma is a favorite.
There will not play in Spezia: Bastoni S.
(Injury)
Zoet J.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Roma: Darboe E.
(Knee Injury)
Wijnaldum G.
(Broken shinbone)
There are questionable in Roma: Zaniolo N.
(Injury)
Last 6 head-to-head matches Spezia won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-11.
Including matches at home between the teams Spezia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.
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