Match Info

USA: USL League One

Date: 7 September 2024, Saturday

Location: One Spokane Stadium (Spokane, WA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	Disney+


	Spokane Velocity		Central Valley Fuego

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	3.5	2.85
	2	3.6	3.1
	2.12	3.6	3.2
	2.02	3.63	3.38	Watch
	2.04	3.52	3.1	Watch
	2	3.6	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.62)	3.58 ↓ (4.03)	3.12 ↓ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spokane Velocity
45%

Draw
25.6%

Central Valley Fuego
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.6%

22.7%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

21.9%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spokane Velocity has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Spokane Velocity's form might have worsened.

Central Valley Fuego has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Central Valley Fuego's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spokane Velocity than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Spokane Velocity, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central Valley Fuego than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Central Valley Fuego, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Spokane Velocity - Central Valley Fuego Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Thompson B. (G) 18. Waldeck D. 21. Longmire A. 5. Lage M. 12. Miller C. 15. Jome I. 10. Gil L. (C) 77. Lewis A. 6. Fernandez C. 24. Gonzalez A. 9. Dolling J.	1. Zuluaga A. (G) 15. Torr C. 24. Bustamante B. 31. Nembhard D. 17. Lemus O. 8. Heckenberg C. (C) 32. Mariona J. 3. Apollon A. 14. Vazquez Z. 20. Midence A. 10. Carrera J.
Substitutes
30. Akale M. 19. Denton J. 2. Gil J. 1. Merancio C. (G) 93. Merrill L. 16. Pelaez A. 17. Smith K.	23. Avilez C. (G) 26. Chalmers T. 4. Cromwell R. 34. Garcia K. 11. Mendiola R. 33. Vinberg S. 19. Williams T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
6', Waldeck D. 🟨,
15', Lemus O. 🟨,
20', 1 - 0, Lewis A. ⚽, Gil L. (A),
25', 1 - 1, Vazquez Z. ⚽,
27', 2 - 1, Gonzalez A. ⚽, Lewis A. (A),
31', Jome I. 🟨,
41', Nembhard D. 🟨,
43', 3 - 1, Jome I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Apollon A. ↓, Mendiola R. ↑,
46', Gonzalez A. ↓, Denton J. ↑,
55', Vazquez Z. 🟨,
60', Dolling J. ↓, Smith K. ↑,
60', Waldeck D. ↓, Merrill L. ↑,
65', Miller C. 🟨,
69', Lemus O. ↓, Garcia K. ↑,
82', 3 - 2, Garcia K. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spokane Velocity
USL League One
04.09.24	Spokane Velocity - Union Omaha	2:1 ✺
USL Cup
29.08.24	Richmond Kickers - Spokane Velocity	3:2 ✺
USL League One
23.08.24	One Knoxville - Spokane Velocity	1:1 ✺
USL Cup
13.08.24	Spokane Velocity - Northern Colorado Hailstorm	1:3 ✺
USL League One
07.08.24	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Spokane Velocity	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WLTLW
- Central Valley Fuego
USL Cup
30.08.24	Central Valley Fuego - Northern Colorado Hailstorm	0:1 ✺
USL League One
24.08.24	Charlotte Independence - Central Valley Fuego	4:0 ✺
16.08.24	Central Valley Fuego - Lexington	1:3 ✺
USL Cup
09.08.24	Central Valley Fuego - Union Omaha	0:1 ✺
USL League One
03.08.24	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Central Valley Fuego	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

USL Cup
19.07.24	Central Valley Fuego - Spokane Velocity	1:0
27.04.24	Spokane Velocity - Central Valley Fuego	1:1

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