Match Info

USA: USL League One

Date: 24 August 2024, Saturday

Location: American Legion Memorial Stadium (Charlotte, NC)

Where to Watch on TV:


North-central-america	ESPNPlay Caribbean
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Charlotte Independence		Central Valley Fuego

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.72	3.7	3.7
	1.7	4	3.75
	1.8	4.13	3.63
	1.75	4.09	3.69	Watch
	1.74	3.82	3.85	Watch
	1.7	4	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.51)	3.96 ↓ (4)	3.73 ↓ (5.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Charlotte Independence
52.5%

Draw
23%

Central Valley Fuego
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.8%

22.9%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62%

22.5%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Charlotte Independence has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Charlotte Independence's form might have worsened.

Central Valley Fuego has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Central Valley Fuego's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlotte Independence than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Charlotte Independence, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central Valley Fuego than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Central Valley Fuego, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Charlotte Independence - Central Valley Fuego Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pack A. (G) 17. Dimick C. (C) 7. Djedje R. 4. Spielman N. 13. Sorenson A. 27. Ndiaye B. 6. Ciss O. 14. Alvarez L. 8. Johnson J. 29. Obregon J. 9. Belmar K.	23. Avilez C. (C) 24. Bustamante B. 33. Vinberg S. 31. Nembhard D. 17. Lemus O. 8. Heckenberg C. 10. Carrera J. 3. Apollon A. 32. Mariona J. 9. Benson Bodden D. O. 20. Midence A.
Substitutes
48. Bonus I. 21. Corea D. 19. Gray N. 10. Ibarra M. 28. Levy M. (G) 11. Mbuyu T. 2. Ngah F. 18. Pierre N. 3. Roberts H.	34. Garcia K. 7. John-Brown S. 11. Mendiola R. 15. Torr C. 14. Vazquez Z. 25. Yaya I. A. 1. Zuluaga A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Dimick C. ⚽,
30', 2 - 0, Ciss O. ⚽, Belmar K. (A),
31', Djedje R. 🟨,
35', Lemus O. 🟨,
45+2', Belmar K. ↓, Mbuyu T. ↑,
45+4', Pack A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', 3 - 0, Obregon J. ⚽,
54', Mbuyu T. 🟨,
62', Ndiaye B. ↓, Corea D. ↑,
63', Nembhard D. ↓, Yaya I. A. ↑,
70', Heckenberg C. ↓, Vazquez Z. ↑,
88', Obregon J. ↓, Pierre N. ↑,
88', Djedje R. ↓, Roberts H. ↑,
88', Johnson J. ↓, Ngah F. ↑,
90+1', Carrera J. 🟥,
90+6', 4 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Charlotte Independence won 4.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Charlotte Independence could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Charlotte Independence is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Charlotte Independence won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 17-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Charlotte Independence won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Charlotte Independence
USL League One
14.08.24	Forward Madison - Charlotte Independence	0:0 ✺
USL Cup
10.08.24	Charlotte Independence - Greenville Triumph	2:1 ✺
USL League One
03.08.24	Charlotte Independence - Lexington	3:3 ✺
27.07.24	Spokane Velocity - Charlotte Independence	2:4 ✺
USL Cup
20.07.24	Charlotte Independence - South Georgia Tormenta	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TWTWL
- Central Valley Fuego
USL League One
16.08.24	Central Valley Fuego - Lexington	1:3 ✺
USL Cup
09.08.24	Central Valley Fuego - Union Omaha	0:1 ✺
USL League One
03.08.24	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Central Valley Fuego	1:2 ✺
27.07.24	Central Valley Fuego - South Georgia Tormenta	3:2 ✺
24.07.24	Forward Madison - Central Valley Fuego	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
03.05.24	Central Valley Fuego - Charlotte Independence	1:3
19.08.23	Central Valley Fuego - Charlotte Independence	1:2
22.07.23	Charlotte Independence - Central Valley Fuego	1:2
22.04.23	Charlotte Independence - Central Valley Fuego	1:0
17.09.22	Central Valley Fuego - Charlotte Independence	0:3
29.07.22	Charlotte Independence - Central Valley Fuego	4:0
08.04.22	Charlotte Independence - Central Valley Fuego	3:3

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