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Current Win Probability
Richmond Kickers 17.9%
Draw 23.7%
Spokane Velocity 58.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.9%
27.1%
41%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.3%
26.8%
40.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Richmond Kickers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Richmond Kickers's form might have worsened.
Spokane Velocity has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Spokane Velocity's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Richmond Kickers than the current prediction. (+14.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Richmond Kickers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spokane Velocity than the current prediction. (-17.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Spokane Velocity, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Richmond Kickers - Spokane Velocity Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
35. Sneddon J. (G) 44. Gallegos A. 4. Layton S. 34. Howell B. 3. Anderson H. 41. Richman A. 18. Amer A. 99. Moore D. 32. Bolduc M. 7. Johnson L. 11. Pannholzer T.
1. Lewis S. (G) 4. Fitch S. 20. Covi I. 12. Miller C. 33. Mensah M. 77. Lewis A. 8. Vinyals N. 14. Hernandez M. 10. Gil L. (C) 17. Alexandre M. 9. Brett N.
Substitutes
2. Barnathan D. 19. Espinal D. 1. Fillion Y. (G) 23. Freeman T. 9. Kirkland J. 26. Murana M. 12. O'Malley O. 14. Vazquez Z. 22. Vinberg S.
19. Denton J. 6. Fernandez C. 7. Gallardo J. 5. Margvelashvili G. 23. Merancio C. (G) 16. Pelaez A. 18. Waldeck D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
10', 0 - 1, Gallegos A. (Own goal),
30', 0 - 2, Covi I. ⚽, Miller C. (A),
42', Vinyals N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Amer A. ↓, O'Malley O. ↑,
46', Johnson L. ↓, Vazquez Z. ↑,
57', O'Malley O. 🟨,
60', Hernandez M. ↓, Waldeck D. ↑,
60', Brett N. ↓, Pelaez A. ↑,
68', Pannholzer T. ↓, Espinal D. ↑,
68', Bolduc M. ↓, Kirkland J. ↑,
68', Richman A. ↓, Barnathan D. ↑,
70', Lewis A. ↓, Fernandez C. ↑,
70', Alexandre M. ↓, Gallardo J. ↑,
83', Vinyals N. ↓, Denton J. ↑,
90+5', Denton J. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Richmond Kickers won 1.
Richmond Kickers is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Spokane's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Richmond Kickers may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Spokane is considered a favorite.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Richmond Kickers won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.8:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Richmond Kickers won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Spokane Velocity
27
14
5
8
41:36
5
47
17
Richmond Kickers
29
6
5
18
30:60
-30
23
Last Results with these Odds
Richmond Kickers - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 31.92%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
Spokane Velocity - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 41%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.
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Sneddon J. (G) 
Layton S. 
Pannholzer T. 
Mensah M. 
Lewis A. 
Vinyals N. 
Alexandre M. 
Espinal D. 
Denton J. 
Fernandez C. 
Margvelashvili G. 
Merancio C. (G) 
Pelaez A. 
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