Match Info

Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 4

Date: 3 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Huancayo (Huancayo)

Referee: Lozano S. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Fanatiz
Peru	Liga 1 Play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Sport Huancayo		Ayacucho

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.5	6	Watch
	1.51	3.8	5.25
	1.65	3.9	4.95	Watch
	1.5	4.2	6.27
	1.14	7.60	15.49	Watch
	1.55	3.8	5.5
	1.69	3.92	5.16	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.56)	4.53 ↑ (4.23)	6.95 ↑ (5.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sport Huancayo
64.6%

Draw
21.4%

Ayacucho
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

22.1%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

22.3%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sport Huancayo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Ayacucho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Huancayo than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayacucho than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Sport Huancayo - Ayacucho Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Ayacucho (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Sport Huancayo will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ayacucho (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Zamudio A. (G) 20. Madrid J. 26. Gaona M. 92. Murillo Y. 2. Angeles H. 38. Villar E. 22. Salcedo R. (C) 23. Magallanes P. 10. Lujan N. 11. Sanguinetti J. 89. Posito J.	23. Valencia J. (G) 12. Caro D. 55. Leon Canchanya B. H. 25. Ataupillco J. 4. Yovera A. 22. Bilbao J. 26. Aquino H. 18. Orue D. (C) 20. Correa Flores C. A. 88. Arakaki H. 24. Perez Azambuya E. M.
Substitutes
16. Barboza S. 4. Barreda J. 80. Carabano D. 7. Carranza M. 9. de Jesus M. 28. Fernandez E. 8. Herrera J. 19. Huaccha R. 33. Solis C. (G)	66. de la Cruz A. 29. Falconi J. 1. Izaguirre P. (G) 8. Ramirez D. 5. Tamariz A. 6. Tuesta J. 16. Vilchez J.
Coaches
Pellejero R.	Castellanos S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, Sanguinetti J. ⚽,
13', 1 - 1, Caro D. ⚽, Bilbao J. (A),
27', Salcedo R. 🟨,
31', Perez Azambuya E. M. 🟨,
35', 2 - 1, Gaona M. ⚽, Sanguinetti J. (A),
43', Angeles H. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Aquino H. ↓, Falconi J. ↑,
49', Correa Flores C. A. 🟥,
61', Villar E. ↓, de Jesus M. ↑,
61', Magallanes P. ↓, Fernandez E. ↑,
71', Murillo Y. 🟨,
75', Posito J. ↓, Carabano D. ↑,
75', Lujan N. ↓, Carranza M. ↑,
78', Arakaki H. ↓, de la Cruz A. ↑,
83', Sanguinetti J. ↓, Huaccha R. ↑,
83', Caro D. ↓, Vilchez J. ↑,
90+4', 3 - 1, Carabano D. ⚽,
90+6', Gaona M. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Huancayo won 0.

Huancayo has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ayacucho is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ayacucho may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Huancayo is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Huancayo: Perez A. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Huancayo: Chavez A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Ayacucho: Lucumi J. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Huancayo won 4 matches, drew 12 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:26. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Huancayo won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1.2:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sport Huancayo
Peruvian Liga 1
30.07.25	Sporting Cristal - Sport Huancayo	5:0 ✺
25.07.25	Sport Huancayo - Juan Pablo II College	5:1 ✺
18.07.25	Alianza Atlético - Sport Huancayo	0:0 ✺
13.07.25	Cusco - Sport Huancayo	3:0 ✺
04.07.25	Sport Huancayo - Cajamarca	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWTLW
- Ayacucho FC
Peruvian Liga 1
30.07.25	Ayacucho - Sport Boys	0:0 ✺
26.07.25	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Ayacucho	1:2 ✺
20.07.25	Ayacucho - Atlético Grau	1:2 ✺
13.07.25	Ayacucho - Cienciano	1:0 ✺
05.07.25	Comerciantes Unidos - Ayacucho	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.4 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
02.03.25	Ayacucho - Sport Huancayo	1:1
19.10.22	Sport Huancayo - Ayacucho	0:1
20.06.22	Ayacucho - Sport Huancayo	1:1
18.08.21	Sport Huancayo - Ayacucho	1:1
31.03.21	Ayacucho - Sport Huancayo	3:0
09.11.20	Sport Huancayo - Ayacucho	0:3
26.08.20	Ayacucho - Sport Huancayo	1:1

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