Match Info

Serie B Superbet - Round 2

Date: 1 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho (Recife)

Referee: Mendonca J. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+


	Sport Recife		Vila Nova

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.25	4.33	Watch
	1.88	3.25	4.15
	1.81	3.57	5.08
	1.73	3.51	4.94	Watch
	1.85	3.1	4
	1.85	3.26	4.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.76)	3.32 ↑ (3.27)	4.48 ↓ (4.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sport Recife
51.1%

Draw
28.1%

Vila Nova
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

28.3%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

27.8%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sport Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Vila Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Sport Recife - Vila Nova Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Recife will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Thiago Couto (G) 68. Augusto 3. Marcelo Ajul 4. Ze Marcos 60. Felipinho 23. Ze Gabriel 30. Chrystian Barletta 7. Yago Felipe (C) 6. Biel Fonseca 95. Iury Castilho 99. Ze Roberto	1. Helton Leite (G) 22. Hayner 3. Tiago Pagnussat 38. Caio Marcelo 13. Willian Formiga 20. Nathan Camargo 5. Joao Vieira 49. Janderson 10. Marquinhos Gabriel (C) 11. Ryan 9. Dellatorre
Substitutes
42. Adriano Sousa (G) 25. Clayson 65. Dede 10. de Pena Carlos 96. Edson Lucas 11. Gustavo Maia 28. Habraao 31. Marlon Douglas 8. Max Alves 63. Patrick 48. Pedro Martins 9. Pedro Perotti	33. Bruno Xavier 29. Dalberson (G) 21. Dodo 15. Dudu 2. Elias 70. Emerson Urso 18. Enzo Bizzotto 6. Higor 19. Jackson 14. Nunes S. 8. Willian Maranhao
Coaches
Azevedo M.	Guto Ferreira

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Ze Roberto ↓, Pedro Perotti ↑,
36', Caio Marcelo 🟨,
40', Ryan 🟨,
43', Ze Marcos 🟨,
45+5', Iury Castilho 🟥,
45+8', Nathan Camargo 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Nathan Camargo ↓, Willian Maranhao ↑,
53', Hayner 🟨,
57', Hayner ↓, Elias ↑,
59', 0 - 1, Janderson ⚽, Ryan (A),
67', Ze Gabriel ↓, de Pena Carlos ↑,
69', Yago Felipe 🟨,
77', Yago Felipe ↓, Marlon Douglas ↑,
77', Chrystian Barletta ↓, Clayson ↑,
77', Augusto ↓, Pedro Martins ↑,
78', Ryan ↓, Bruno Xavier ↑,
78', Janderson ↓, Dodo ↑,
78', 1 - 1, Pedro Perotti ⚽, Felipinho (A),
88', Tiago Pagnussat ↓, Dudu ↑,
90+7', Dellatorre 🟥,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Recife won 3.

Recife is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Vila Nova's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recife may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Vila Nova has had a series of home games.

In this match, Recife is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Recife: Benevenuto (Injury) Chrystian Barletta (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Vila Nova: Pedro Romano (Red Card)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Recife won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 0.8:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Recife won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 0.8:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Vila Nova FC	32	17	7	8	44:31	13	58
8	Sport Recife	32	13	11	8	44:34	10	50

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sport Recife
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
29.03.26	ABC - Sport Recife	0:1 ✺
24.03.26	Sport Recife - Jacuipense	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
21.03.26	Cuiabá - Sport Recife	0:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
17.03.26	Sport Recife - Athletic Club	1:3 ✺
12.03.26	Sport Recife - Anápolis	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWTLW
- Vila Nova FC
Brazilian Copa Centro Oeste
28.03.26	Vila Nova - Operário MS	6:0 ✺
24.03.26	Rio Branco AC ES - Vila Nova	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
21.03.26	Vila Nova - CRB Maceio	2:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil
18.03.26	Vila Nova - Confiança	0:1 penalties ✺
12.03.26	Vila Nova - Operário MS	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
16.08.24	Vila Nova - Sport Recife	2:0
26.04.24	Sport Recife - Vila Nova	2:0
02.08.23	Vila Nova - Sport Recife	0:1
18.06.23	Sport Recife - Vila Nova	1:0
06.11.22	Vila Nova - Sport Recife	0:0
18.07.22	Sport Recife - Vila Nova	0:0
17.11.19	Sport Recife - Vila Nova	0:0

Upcoming Matches