Match Info

Serie B - Round 20

Date: 27 July 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho (Recife)

Referee: Bellote L. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Sport Recife		Cuiabá

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.1	4.5	Watch
	2.05	2.90	3.70
	1.92	3.1	4.15	Watch
	2.02	3.33	4.14
	1.94	3.26	4.08	Watch
	1.95	3.25	4
	1.95	3.16	4.11	Watch
	1.93	3.1	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (1.96)	3.15 (3.15)	4.11 ↑ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sport Recife
47.7%

Draw
29.6%

Cuiabá
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

29.6%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

28.9%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sport Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Cuiabá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	21.4%	7.1%

Sport Recife - Cuiabá Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Recife will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Cuiabá will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Recife: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Recife (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Thiago Couto (G) 68. Augusto 5. Benevenuto (C) 28. Habraao 60. Felipinho 6. Biel Fonseca 23. Ze Gabriel 48. Pedro Martins 25. Clayson 30. Chrystian Barletta 9. Pedro Perotti	31. Marcelo Carne (G) 33. Alan Empereur (C) 13. Joao Basso 5. Calebe Costa 37. Raylan 30. Raul 20. David Miguel 6. Marlon 77. Jean Dias 27. Rodrigo Rodrigues 90. Fabio Gomes
Substitutes
42. Adriano Sousa (G) 54. Adriel 27. Claudinho 20. Diego Hernandez 77. Dudu 96. Edson Lucas 1. Halls (G) 33. Kayky Almeida 3. Marcelo Ajul 31. Marlon Douglas 7. Yago Felipe 99. Ze Roberto	11. Eliel 2. Igor Inocencio 1. Joao Carlos (G) 41. Kauan Cristtyan 36. Lorenzo 97. Luiz Otavio 96. Pedro H. 29. Vinicius Peixoto 4. Vitor Mendes 70. Wesley Dias
Coaches
Gilmar Pozzo	Barros E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Pedro Martins 🟨,
33', Pedro Martins ↓, Diego Hernandez ↑,
33', David Miguel 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 1 - 0, Pedro Perotti ⚽,
59', Rodrigo Rodrigues ↓, Kauan Cristtyan ↑,
59', Marlon ↓, Lorenzo ↑,
68', Clayson ↓, Dudu ↑,
70', Jean Dias ↓, Pedro H. ↑,
70', Raylan ↓, Igor Inocencio ↑,
70', David Miguel ↓, Luiz Otavio ↑,
71', Biel Fonseca ↓, Yago Felipe ↑,
75', 1 - 1, Fabio Gomes ⚽, Kauan Cristtyan (A),

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 15).

Recife is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Cuiabá has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Recife is the team to beat.

There will not play in Cuiabá: Pepe (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Cuiabá: Hernades (Muscle Injury) Joao Araujo (Inactive) Mateus Santos (Inactive)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Recife won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 0.6:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Recife won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Sport Recife	32	13	11	8	44:34	10	50
10	Cuiaba	32	11	14	7	32:25	7	47

Last Results with these Odds

Sport Recife - the odds 1.96 are the expected chance of winning is 47.61%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sport Recife
Brazilian Serie B
22.07.26	Goiás - Sport Recife	1:1 ✺
18.07.26	Sport Recife - Operário Ferroviario	2:2 ✺
10.07.26	Sport Recife - Botafogo SP	3:3 ✺
04.07.26	Criciúma - Sport Recife	1:0 ✺
28.06.26	Fortaleza - Sport Recife	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 TTTLL
- Cuiabá EC
Brazilian Serie B
23.07.26	Cuiabá - Atlético Goianiense	0:1 ✺
17.07.26	Juventude - Cuiabá	2:0 ✺
12.07.26	São Bernardo - Cuiabá	2:2 ✺
02.07.26	Cuiabá - América Mineiro	1:0 ✺
25.06.26	Cuiabá - Londrina	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
21.03.26	Cuiabá - Sport Recife	0:0
Brazilian Serie A
14.10.21	Cuiabá - Sport Recife	1:0
27.06.21	Sport Recife - Cuiabá	0:0
Brazilian Serie B
14.10.19	Sport Recife - Cuiabá	2:0
15.07.19	Cuiabá - Sport Recife	1:1

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