The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sport Recife 63.1%
Draw 22.3%
Ituano 14.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
69.4%
20%
10.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67.5%
19.4%
10.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sport Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sport Recife's form might have worsened.
Ituano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80%
0%
20%
Sport Recife - Ituano Predictions
Users Predictions:
Sport Recife will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%). Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Caique Franca (G) 44. Chico 30. Chrystian Barletta 8. Dominguez F. 94. Felipe 6. Felipinho 9. Gustavo Coutinho 16. Igor Carius 59. Ortiz C. 15. Rafael Thyere (C) 18. Wellington Silva
12. Jefferson Paulino (G) 11. Bruno Xavier 3. Claudinho (C) 6. Guilherme Lazaroni 4. Guilherme Mariano 10. Jose Aldo 2. Marcinho 8. Miqueias 5. Rodrigo 9. Thonny Anderson 7. Vinicius Paiva
Substitutes
12. Alisson Cassiano 2. Allyson 29. Dalbert 7. Fabinho 47. Fabio Matheus 77. Lenny Lobato 55. Lucas Andre 40. Luciano Castan 39. Micael 48. Pedro Martins 21. Thiago Couto (G) 99. Ze Roberto
19. Alvaro 18. de Almeida J. V. X. 14. Erik 23. Gabriel Falcao 17. Joao Carlos 13. Leo Oliveira 22. Leozinho 15. Luiz Gustavo 21. Neto Berola 16. Richard 1. Saulo (G) 20. Yann Rolim
Coaches
Guto Ferreira
Alberto Valentim
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Jose Aldo ⚽, Thonny Anderson (A),
11', 1 - 1, Chico ⚽,
19', Chrystian Barletta 🟨,
20', Felipe 🟨,
29', Guilherme Mariano 🟨,
45', Jose Aldo 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
61', Thonny Anderson ↓, Alvaro ↑,
61', Bruno Xavier ↓, Joao Carlos ↑,
64', Gustavo Coutinho ↓, Ze Roberto ↑,
67', Jose Aldo ↓, Yann Rolim ↑,
69', 2 - 1, Ze Roberto (Pen),
73', Ortiz C. 🟨,
75', Vinicius Paiva 🟨,
75', Igor Carius 🟨,
78', Guilherme Lazaroni 🟨,
83', Vinicius Paiva ↓, Leozinho ↑,
83', Rodrigo ↓, de Almeida J. V. X. ↑,
83', Ze Roberto 🟨,
85', Igor Carius ↓, Allyson ↑,
86', 3 - 1, Ze Roberto ⚽, Chrystian Barletta (A),
90+4', 3 - 2, Alvaro ⚽,
90+7', Wellington Silva ↓, Lenny Lobato ↑,
90+7', Rafael Thyere ↓, Luciano Castan ↑,
Preview
This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
Recife is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Ituano is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recife could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Recife is certain favorite.
There will not play in Recife: Palacios H.
(Injury)
Pedro Martins
(Injury)
Rafael Thyere
(Injury)
Romarinho
(Injury)
There will not play in Ituano: Eduardo Diniz
(Injury)
Eduardo Person
(Injury)
Lipe
(Injury)
Madison
(Injury)
Salatiel
(Injury)
Ze Carlos
(Injury)
Ze Eduardo
(Injury)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Recife won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-8.
Including matches at home between the teams Recife won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.
Brazil
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