Match Info

BRAZIL: COPA DO NORDESTE - ROUND 8

Date: 27 March 2024, Wednesday

Location: Arena Pernambuco (Recife)


	Sport Recife		Juazeirense

	1	X	2
	1.35	4.6	7.5
	1.33	4.5	8
	1.35	4.63	8.51
	1.36	4.63	8.51
	1.3	4.5	8.5
	1.33	4.55	7.95	Watch
	1.34	4.5	7.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.45)	4.56 ↑ (4.03)	8.08 ↑ (6.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sport Recife
68.6%

Draw
20.1%

Juazeirense
11.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.9%

22.7%

14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.8%

21.1%

13.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sport Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sport Recife's performance.

Juazeirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juazeirense than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Sport Recife - Juazeirense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Caique Franca (G) 47. Fabio Matheus 94. Felipe 6. Felipinho 9. Gustavo Coutinho 19. Lucas Lima 40. Luciano Castan 54. Pedro Lima 15. Rafael Thyere (C) 11. Romarinho 10. Ruiz A.	1. Joao Guilherme (G) 2. Edson Oliveira 8. Elivelton 11. Ian Augusto 21. Luis Soares 15. Patrik 9. Pedro Henrique 5. Waguinho 4. Wendell 6. Yan Ferreira 3. Ze Romario
Substitutes
20. Arthur Caike 30. Chrystian Barletta 8. Dominguez F. 39. Italo 55. Lucas Andre 44. Nassom 59. Ortiz C. 27. Pablo Dyego 48. Pedro Martins 17. Pedro Vilhena 28. Rosales R. 21. Thiago Couto (G)	19. Alexsandro 10. Bruno Matos 13. Gean 12. Jailson (G) 22. Janeudo 7. Mauro 18. Romarinho 16. Talys

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', Felipinho ↓, Rosales R. ↑,
34', Pedro Henrique 🟨,
36', 1 - 0, Gustavo Coutinho ⚽,
38', Ze Romario 🟨,
39', Luis Soares 🟨,
45+4', Joao Guilherme 🟨,
45+7', Luis Soares 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Edson Oliveira ↓, Gean ↑,
46', Fabio Matheus ↓, Dominguez F. ↑,
46', Ruiz A. ↓, Chrystian Barletta ↑,
49', Ian Augusto 🟨,
60', Romarinho ↓, Ortiz C. ↑,
60', Ian Augusto ↓, Bruno Matos ↑,
60', Elivelton ↓, Alexsandro ↑,
62', Rosales R. 🟨,
64', 2 - 0, Chrystian Barletta ⚽,
68', Lucas Lima 🟨,
70', 3 - 0, Yan Ferreira (Own goal),
73', Waguinho ↓, Romarinho ↑,
74', Rafael Thyere ↓, Pedro Martins ↑,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa do Nordeste (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5).

Sport Recife is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Juazeirense is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Juazeirense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Sport Recife is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Sport Recife to win the game is with odds 1.44.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Sport Recife won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Sport Recife won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sport Recife
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
23.03.24	ABC - Sport Recife	0:2 ✺
20.03.24	Sport Recife - Náutico Capibaribe	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
16.03.24	Sport Recife - Santa Cruz Recife	1:0 penalties ✺
Copa do Brasil
13.03.24	Sport Recife - Murici	2:1 penalties ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
09.03.24	Santa Cruz Recife - Sport Recife	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WTWWT
- SD Juazeirense
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
24.03.24	Juazeirense - Ríver PI	4:1 ✺
20.03.24	CRB Maceio - Juazeirense	3:1 ✺
06.03.24	Juazeirense - América RN	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
03.03.24	Bahia de Feira - Juazeirense	5:1 ✺
25.02.24	Juazeirense - Bahia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Copa do Brasil
10.03.21	Juazeirense - Sport Recife	3:2
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
11.03.17	Sport Recife - Juazeirense	5:0
05.02.17	Juazeirense - Sport Recife	0:1

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