Match Info

Serie B - Round 13

Date: 14 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Primeiro de Maio (Sao Bernardo)

Referee: Policarpo Bento A. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+


	São Bernardo		Sport Recife

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.1	3.1	Watch
	2.37	3.10	2.80
	2.38	3.05	2.98
	2.49	3.25	3.13
	2.37	3.15	3.01	Watch
	2.4	2.9	3
	2.4	3.06	3.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.28)	3.09 ↑ (3.08)	3.01 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Bernardo
38.9%

Draw
30.2%

Sport Recife
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

30.3%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

28.8%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Bernardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Sport Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Bernardo than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	75%	12.5%

São Bernardo - Sport Recife Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. São Bernardo will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Recife will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alex Alves (G) 2. Rodrigo Ferreira 35. Jemerson 97. Augusto 6. Para 26. Dudu Miraima 8. Foguinho 11. Pedro Vitor 17. Romisson 27. Echapora 9. Felipe Garcia (C)	26. Thiago Couto (G) 13. Madson 5. Benevenuto (C) 4. Ze Marcos 60. Felipinho 6. Biel Fonseca 58. Ze Lucas 30. Chrystian Barletta 7. Yago Felipe 95. Iury Castilho 9. Pedro Perotti
Substitutes
89. Daniel Amorim 37. Davi D. 25. Gonzaga W. 21. Hugo Sanches 42. Hyoran 12. Junior Oliveira (G) 30. Junior Urso 7. Lucas Rian 90. Luizao 77. Marcao Silva 33. Mario Sergio 29. Pedrinho	68. Augusto 10. de Pena Carlos 96. Edson Lucas 47. Fabio Matheus 11. Gustavo Maia 1. Halls (G) 3. Marcelo Ajul 31. Marlon Douglas 8. Max Alves 48. Pedro Martins 23. Ze Gabriel
Coaches
Ricardo Catala	Azevedo M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Jemerson 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Felipe Garcia ↓, Daniel Amorim ↑,
49', Jemerson 🟨,
50', Echapora ↓, Luizao ↑,
58', Madson 🟨,
62', Madson ↓, Augusto ↑,
62', Ze Lucas ↓, Marlon Douglas ↑,
63', Romisson ↓, Hugo Sanches ↑,
72', Dudu Miraima ↓, Davi D. ↑,
73', Pedro Vitor ↓, Gonzaga W. ↑,
75', Biel Fonseca ↓, de Pena Carlos ↑,
80', Marlon Douglas 🟨,
84', Felipinho ↓, Edson Lucas ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)).

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Recife may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in São Bernardo: Fabricio Daniel (Muscle Injury) Helder Maciel (Inactive) Lucas Fernandes (Inactive) Matheus Salustiano (Knee Injury) Rodrigo Andrade (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Recife: Clayson (Injury) Ze Roberto (Ankle Injury)

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Sport Recife	32	13	11	8	44:34	10	50
12	Sao Bernardo	32	12	9	11	44:34	10	45

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- São Bernardo FC
Brazilian Serie B
07.06.26	CRB Maceio - São Bernardo	2:3 ✺
31.05.26	São Bernardo - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:1 ✺
24.05.26	Atlético Goianiense - São Bernardo	0:1 ✺
16.05.26	São Bernardo - América Mineiro	1:1 ✺
12.05.26	Londrina - São Bernardo	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.9 WTWTW
- Sport Recife
Brazilian Serie B
10.06.26	Sport Recife - Athletic Club	1:1 ✺
30.05.26	Sport Recife - Náutico Capibaribe	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
27.05.26	Sport Recife - Fortaleza	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
23.05.26	Juventude - Sport Recife	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
20.05.26	Fortaleza - Sport Recife	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 TWLWW

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