The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sport Recife 51.9%
Draw 26.9%
Retrô Brasil 21.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.9%
25.5%
21.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.2%
24.4%
20.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sport Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
Retrô Brasil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Retrô Brasil than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
57.1%
28.6%
14.3%
Sport Recife - Retrô Brasil Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Recife will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Retrô will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
26. Thiago Couto (G) 6. Biel Fonseca 30. Chrystian Barletta 25. Clayson 60. Felipinho 3. Marcelo Ajul 9. Pedro Perotti 7. Yago Felipe (C) 23. Ze Gabriel 58. Ze Lucas 4. Ze Marcos
12. Jefferson Paulino (G) 16. Danillo 3. Dankler (C) 2. David Junio 17. Diego Guerra 21. Guilherme 5. Kadi Silva 9. Lira W. 6. Luiz Henrique 8. Radsley 19. Sillas
Substitutes
5. Benevenuto 65. Dede 10. de Pena Carlos 96. Edson Lucas 11. Gustavo Maia 28. Habraao 1. Halls (G) 95. Iury Castilho 31. Marlon Douglas 8. Max Alves 63. Patrick 48. Pedro Martins
20. Bruno Henrique 22. Bruno Marques 30. Cacau 25. Ericson 23. Fabricio Pereira 26. Gogo J. 27. Iury 14. Joao Rafael 29. Murilo Cosmo 1. Paulo Ricardo (G) 4. Rayan Ribeiro 15. Wesley Junio
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Ze Gabriel 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Danillo ↓, Murilo Cosmo ↑,
46', Lira W. ↓, Cacau ↑,
46', Ze Marcos ↓, Habraao ↑,
52', Yago Felipe 🟨,
55', Ze Gabriel ↓, de Pena Carlos ↑,
56', Biel Fonseca ↓, Marlon Douglas ↑,
56', Clayson ↓, Iury Castilho ↑,
60', Luiz Henrique ↓, Ericson ↑,
60', Sillas ↓, Gogo J. ↑,
62', 1 - 0, Iury Castilho ⚽,
70', Diego Guerra ↓, Bruno Henrique ↑,
72', Radsley 🟨,
74', 2 - 0, Chrystian Barletta ⚽,
79', 3 - 0, Habraao ⚽,
80', Pedro Perotti ↓, Edson Lucas ↑,
88', Guilherme 🟨,
Preview
First leg result: 1-0. Aggregate: 4-2. Second leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Recife won 4.
Recife is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Retrô has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Retrô may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Recife is a strong favorite.
We predict that Recife will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Recife won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 22:15. (average 1.7:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Recife won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.8:1.3).
Watch
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