Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 3

Date: 2 May 2023, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Alberto Gallardo (Lima)

Referee: Gonzalez L. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Brazil	ESPN 2


	Sporting Cristal		The Strongest

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.6	4.75	Watch
	1.75	3.6	4.4
	1.74	3.6	5
	1.77	3.77	4.85
	1.7	3.4	4.6
	1.75	3.65	4.7	Watch
	1.75	3.6	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.73)	3.6 ↑ (3.43)	4.66 ↓ (4.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting Cristal
53.8%

Draw
26%

The Strongest
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

26.9%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

29.3%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Cristal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

The Strongest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for The Strongest than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.5%	0%	10.5%

Sporting Cristal - The Strongest Predictions

Users Predictions: Sporting Cristal will win (17 of 19 users predict this - 89.47%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.67% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Sporting Cristal is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

The Strongest is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The Strongest could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Sporting Cristal is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Sporting Cristal won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Sporting Cristal won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Cristal
Peruvian Liga 1
28.04.23	Sporting Cristal - Universidad César Vallejo	1:1 ✺
24.04.23	Universitario de Deportes - Sporting Cristal	2:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
19.04.23	River Plate Montevideo - Sporting Cristal	4:2 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
14.04.23	Sporting Cristal - Sport Boys	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
05.04.23	Sporting Cristal - Fluminense	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLLTL
- The Strongest
Bolivian Division Profesional
28.04.23	Blooming - The Strongest	1:3 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
25.04.23	The Strongest - Vinto Atlético Palmaflor	2:0 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
22.04.23	The Strongest - Oriente Petrolero	0:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
18.04.23	Fluminense - The Strongest	1:0 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
08.04.23	Royal Pari - The Strongest	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
04.05.17	The Strongest - Sporting Cristal	5:1
18.04.17	Sporting Cristal - The Strongest	0:0

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