The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sporting Cristal 62.1%
Draw 23.3%
Sport Boys 14.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
70.2%
19.3%
10.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
75.2%
18%
9.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sporting Cristal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sporting Cristal's form might have worsened.
Sport Boys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (+13.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sporting Cristal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Boys than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Sporting Cristal - Sport Boys Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Enriquez D. (G) 8. Sosa L. 20. Araujo M. 5. Lutiger R. 90. Cristiano 55. Cazonatti G. 19. Yotun Y. (C) 7. Gonzalez S. 27. Gabriel 23. Castro M. 11. Avila I.
1. Rivadeneyra S. (G) 17. Saba E. 55. Dulanto G. 26. Riojas H. (C) 13. Llontop M. 24. Mora O. 8. Da Campo N. 7. Lopez C. 10. Alarcon J. 11. Urruti L. 9. Nequecaur L.
Substitutes
33. Bautista C. (G) 14. Benavente C. 32. Diaz L. 16. Iberico L. 37. Lora F. 28. Otoya D. 15. Posito Olazabal A. J. 25. Tavara M. 26. Wisdom I.
4. Alfani R. 14. Diaz R. 27. Flores V. 23. Gonzales J. 21. Huaman A. 12. Oblitas S. (G) 36. Paz N. 80. Torres J. 20. Vasquez A.
Coaches
Autuori P.
Vasquez G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Castro M. ⚽, Avila I. (A),
37', Urruti L. 🟨,
38', Yotun Y. 🟨,
45+3', Cazonatti G. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', 2 - 0, Araujo M. ⚽, Avila I. (A),
53', Saba E. ↓, Torres J. ↑,
54', 3 - 0, Avila I. ⚽, Cristiano (A),
68', Avila I. ↓, Wisdom I. ↑,
75', Alarcon J. ↓, Diaz R. ↑,
75', Lopez C. ↓, Vasquez A. ↑,
81', Yotun Y. ↓, Tavara M. ↑,
87', Lutiger R. ↓, Diaz L. ↑,
87', Gabriel ↓, Benavente C. ↑,
87', Gonzalez S. ↓, Iberico L. ↑,
88', Nequecaur L. ↓, Paz N. ↑,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 17).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting Cristal won 4.
Sporting Cristal has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Sport Boys's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Sporting Cristal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Sporting Cristal is the undisputed favorite.
There will not play in Sporting Cristal: Abram L.
(Muscle Injury)
Solis R.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Sport Boys: Gonzales E.
(Ankle Injury)
There are questionable in Sport Boys: Solis L.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Sporting Cristal won 14 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 47:14. (average 2.6:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Sporting Cristal won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 20:5. (average 2.2:0.6).
Peru
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Enriquez D. (G) 
Sosa L. 
Cristiano 
Gonzalez S. 
Saba E. 
Lopez C. 
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