Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 1

Date: 5 April 2023, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Alberto Gallardo (Lima)

Referee: Roldan W. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 4


	Sporting Cristal		Fluminense

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.3	1.91	Watch
	4.2	3.3	1.87
	4.4	3.7	1.8
	4.54	3.48	1.9
	4.2	3.1	1.85
	4.33	3.46	1.86	Watch
	4.2	3.25	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.34 ↑ (3.95)	3.37 ↓ (3.45)	1.87 ↓ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting Cristal
21.7%

Draw
27.9%

Fluminense
50.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.5%

27%

49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.9%

27.7%

50.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Cristal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Fluminense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	28.6%	57.1%

Sporting Cristal - Fluminense Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Sporting Cristal will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Fluminense will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Sporting Cristal is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Fluminense is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sporting Cristal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Fluminense have a series of guest games.

In this match Fluminense is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Cristal
Peruvian Liga 1
31.03.23	Deportivo Municipal - Sporting Cristal	1:1 ✺
25.03.23	Sporting Cristal - Cantolao	2:0 ✺
19.03.23	Sporting Cristal - Atlético Grau	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
16.03.23	Sporting Cristal - Huracán Buenos Aires	1:0 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
12.03.23	Deportivo Garcilaso - Sporting Cristal	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TWWWT
- Fluminense RJ
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
01.04.23	Flamengo - Fluminense	2:0 ✺
18.03.23	Fluminense - Volta Redonda	7:0 ✺
12.03.23	Volta Redonda - Fluminense	2:1 ✺
08.03.23	Flamengo - Fluminense	1:2 ✺
04.03.23	Bangu - Fluminense	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWLWW

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