Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 27 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Hodges Stadium (Jacksonville, FL)

Referee: Carvajal E. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Usa	CBS Sports Network, Paramount+


	Sporting Jacksonville		San Antonio

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.25	3.25	2.08
	3.61	3.47	2.11
	3.29	3.44	2.07	Watch
	3.3	3.1	2
	3.45	3.28	1.98	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.38 ↓ (3.56)	3.31 ↑ (3.28)	2.05 ↑ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting Jacksonville
27.2%

Draw
27.8%

San Antonio
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.1%

28.3%

45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25%

27.1%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Jacksonville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

San Antonio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Jacksonville than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Antonio than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	33.3%	50%

Sporting Jacksonville - San Antonio Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Sporting Jax will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). San Antonio will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Olivares C. (G) 2. Neville H. 15. Edwards R. (C) 22. Gomez A. 3. Rose T. 12. Rito E. 6. Rossiter J. 19. Pedder R. 10. Sadlier K. 16. Jaaskelainen E. 11. Al Qaq A.	1. Sanchez R. (G) 23. Buckmaster R. 21. Crognale A. 3. Taintor M. (C) 17. Barbir D. 4. Blanco N. 15. Maldonado M. 55. Erofeev D. 6. Calov C. 10. Hernandez J. 99. Sorto C.
Substitutes
18. Ackwei W. 77. Armstrong D. 4. Dudley E. 7. Evans J. 26. Granitur L. 8. Kuzain W. 1. McGuire J. (G)	14. Berron L. 22. Cuello E. 7. Haakenson L. 9. Patino S. 5. Souahy A. 50. Velazquez V. (G) 13. Ward A.
Coaches
Fox L.	Llamosa C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Jaaskelainen E. ⚽, Pedder R. (A),
23', 2 - 0, Sadlier K. (Penalty Awarded),
43', Sanchez R. 🟨,
45', 3 - 0, Sadlier K. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 4)
46', Buckmaster R. ↓, Ward A. ↑,
46', Calov C. ↓, Cuello E. ↑,
48', 3 - 1, Erofeev D. ⚽, Blanco N. (A),
51', 3 - 2, Sorto C. ⚽, Cuello E. (A),
54', 3 - 3, Ward A. ⚽, Hernandez J. (A),
64', Rossiter J. 🟨,
70', Sadlier K. ↓, Kuzain W. ↑,
76', 3 - 4, Sorto C. ⚽, Blanco N. (A),
78', Rossiter J. ↓, Armstrong D. ↑,
78', Sorto C. ↓, Berron L. ↑,
78', Erofeev D. ↓, Haakenson L. ↑,
79', Crognale A. ↓, Souahy A. ↑,
84', Rito E. ↓, Granitur L. ↑,
85', Gomez A. 🟨,
87', Kuzain W. 🟨,
89', 4 - 4, Pedder R. ⚽, Armstrong D. (A),
90+3', Blanco N. 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Sporting Jax is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

San Antonio is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

San Antonio may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Sporting Jax has had a series of away games.

San Antonio could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Jacksonville
USL Cup
17.05.26	Naples - Sporting Jacksonville	2:1 penalties ✺
13.05.26	Sarasota Paradise - Sporting Jacksonville	0:2 ✺
USL Championship
09.05.26	Indy Eleven - Sporting Jacksonville	2:1 ✺
02.05.26	Charleston Battery - Sporting Jacksonville	4:0 ✺
USL Cup
25.04.26	Sporting Jacksonville - Miami	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LWLLL
- San Antonio FC
USL Championship
23.05.26	San Antonio - Sacramento Republic	2:1 ✺
USL Cup
16.05.26	One Knoxville - San Antonio	0:1 ✺
USL Championship
09.05.26	Phoenix Rising - San Antonio	1:1 ✺
02.05.26	San Antonio - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	3:3 ✺
USL Cup
25.04.26	San Antonio - Birmingham Legion	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWTTW

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