Match Info

NORTH & CENTRAL AMERICA: Leagues Cup

Date: 28 July 2024, Sunday

Location: Children's Mercy Park (Kansas City, KS)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	Apple TV


	Sporting Kansas City		Chicago Fire

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.4	3.2	Watch
	2.1	3.4	2.85
	2.2	3.6	3	Watch
	2.27	3.71	3.16
	2.2	3.69	3.09	Watch
	1.91	3.7	3
	2.21	3.74	3.01	Watch
	2.2	3.5	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (2.01)	3.59 ↑ (3.38)	3.05 ↓ (3.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting Kansas City
43.3%

Draw
26%

Chicago Fire
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

27.8%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

27.9%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Kansas City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Chicago Fire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chicago Fire's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Kansas City than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Fire than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chicago Fire, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Sporting Kansas City - Chicago Fire Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Kansas City will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Melia T. (G) 11. Shelton K. 19. Castellanos R. 3. Fontas A. 14. Leibold T. 6. Radoja N. 54. Walter R. 30. Afrifa S. 26. Thommy E. 10. Salloi D. 23. Agada W.	18. Richey S. (G) 2. Souquet A. 14. Salquist T. 43. Shannon J. 21. Herbers F. 23. Acosta K. 17. Gutierrez B. 30. Gimenez G. 7. Haile-Selassie M. 12. Barlow T. 19. Koutsias G.
Substitutes
22. Bassong Z. 98. Cruz S. 31. Flores D. 18. Ndenbe L. 28. Rindov C. 5. Rosero D. 36. Schewe R. (G) 52. Tschantret M. 20. Vargas A. 4. Voloder R.	34. Brady C. (G) 37. Casas J. 25. Gal J. (G) 55. Glasgow O. 15. Gutman A. 50. Koffi C. 31. Navarro F.
Coaches
Vermes P.	Klopas F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Koutsias G. ⚽, Gutierrez B. (A),
39', 1 - 1, Castellanos R. ⚽, Walter R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Shannon J. 🟨,
56', Shannon J. ↓, Glasgow O. ↑,
62', Barlow T. ↓, Koffi C. ↑,
73', Fontas A. ↓, Voloder R. ↑,
76', 2 - 1, Agada W. ⚽, Afrifa S. (A),
79', Souquet A. ↓, Gutman A. ↑,
81', Leibold T. ↓, Bassong Z. ↑,
84', Afrifa S. ↓, Vargas A. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kansas City won 2.

Kansas City is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Chicago is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kansas City will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Kansas City: Ford K. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Ndenbe L. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Chicago: Gasper C. (Injury) Gutman A. (Injury) Navarro F. (Injury) Shaqiri X. (Injury) Teran C. (Injury)

Last 17 head-to-head matches Kansas City won 9 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 23-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Kansas City won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Kansas City
MLS
20.07.24	Sporting Kansas City - St. Louis City	1:1 ✺
17.07.24	Vancouver Whitecaps - Sporting Kansas City	2:1 ✺
13.07.24	San Jose Earthquakes - Sporting Kansas City	1:2 ✺
US Open Cup
10.07.24	Sporting Kansas City - FC Dallas	2:1 ET ✺
MLS
07.07.24	Sporting Kansas City - FC Dallas	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TLWWW
- Chicago Fire
MLS
20.07.24	Inter Miami - Chicago Fire	2:1 ✺
17.07.24	Cincinnati - Chicago Fire	0:1 ✺
13.07.24	Chicago Fire - New York City	0:0 ✺
07.07.24	San Jose Earthquakes - Chicago Fire	1:0 ✺
03.07.24	Chicago Fire - Philadelphia Union	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.8 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

MLS
24.06.23	Sporting Kansas City - Chicago Fire	0:1
19.03.22	Chicago Fire - Sporting Kansas City	3:1
11.09.21	Sporting Kansas City - Chicago Fire	2:0
17.10.20	Chicago Fire - Sporting Kansas City	2:2
07.10.20	Sporting Kansas City - Chicago Fire	1:0
06.07.19	Sporting Kansas City - Chicago Fire	1:0
10.03.18	Chicago Fire - Sporting Kansas City	3:4

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