Match Info

USA: MLS

Date: 7 July 2024, Sunday

Location: PayPal Park (San Jose, CA)

Referee: Touchan R. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass


	San Jose Earthquakes		Chicago Fire

	1	X	2
	2.3	4	2.7	Watch
	2.25	3.75	2.75
	2.35	4	2.75	Watch
	2.34	4.09	2.86
	2.31	3.99	2.73	Watch
	2.3	3.9	2.62
	2.33	3.92	2.72	Watch
	2.29	3.85	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.27)	3.94 ↑ (3.83)	2.73 ↓ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Jose Earthquakes
41.1%

Draw
24.1%

Chicago Fire
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

24.7%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

25.6%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Jose Earthquakes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Chicago Fire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Fire than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
47.4%	21.1%	31.6%

San Jose Earthquakes - Chicago Fire Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. San Jose will win (votes: 9 - 47.4%). Chicago will win (votes: 6 - 31.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 21.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for San Jose: 24.9% – 69.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Yarbrough W. (G) 15. Beason T. 24. Munie D. 26. Rodrigues 94. Vitor Costa 14. Yueill J. 7. Gruezo C. 10. Espinoza C. 23. Lopez H. 28. Kikanovic B. 11. Ebobisse J.	34. Brady C. (G) 2. Souquet A. 16. Omsberg W. 5. Czichos R. 27. Arigoni A. 30. Gimenez G. (C) 17. Gutierrez B. 23. Acosta K. 7. Haile-Selassie M. 9. Cuypers H. 8. Mueller C.
Substitutes
55. Baldisimo M. 98. Jackson J. (G) 19. Judd P. 3. Marie P. 6. Morales A. 9. Pellegrino A. 20. Richmond W. 16. Skahan J. 22. Thompson T.	12. Barlow T. 37. Casas J. 24. Dean J. 21. Herbers F. 42. Konincks D. 19. Koutsias G. 22. Pineda M. 18. Richey S. (G)
Coaches
Russell I.	Klopas F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Czichos R. 🟨,
37', Acosta K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', 1 - 0, Lopez H. ⚽, Espinoza C. (A),
62', Lopez H. 🟨,
63', Gimenez G. ↓, Herbers F. ↑,
63', Mueller C. ↓, Barlow T. ↑,
81', Espinoza C. ↓, Judd P. ↑,
82', Yueill J. ↓, Morales A. ↑,
82', Lopez H. ↓, Skahan J. ↑,
85', Vitor Costa ↓, Thompson T. ↑,
87', Skahan J. 🟨,
88', Ebobisse J. ↓, Pellegrino A. ↑,
89', Acosta K. ↓, Koutsias G. ↑,
90+5', Herbers F. 🟨,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches San Jose won 3.

San Jose has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Chicago is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in San Jose: Daniel (Injury) Marcinkowski J. (Knee Injury) Ricketts J. (Injury)

There will not play in Chicago: Gasper C. (Injury) Gutman A. (Injury) Salquist T. (Injury) Teran C. (Injury)

There are questionable in Chicago: Navarro F. (Injury)

Our prediction for today's Chicago to win the game is with odds 2.77.

Last 9 head-to-head matches San Jose won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 19-14.

Including matches at home between the teams San Jose won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Jose Earthquakes
MLS
03.07.24	St. Louis City - San Jose Earthquakes	2:0 ✺
29.06.24	San Jose Earthquakes - Los Angeles Galaxy	0:3 ✺
22.06.24	Los Angeles - San Jose Earthquakes	6:2 ✺
19.06.24	San Jose Earthquakes - Portland Timbers	1:2 ✺
15.06.24	San Jose Earthquakes - Cincinnati	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Chicago Fire
MLS
03.07.24	Chicago Fire - Philadelphia Union	4:3 ✺
29.06.24	Seattle Sounders - Chicago Fire	2:1 ✺
22.06.24	Orlando City - Chicago Fire	4:2 ✺
15.06.24	Toronto FC - Chicago Fire	1:4 ✺
01.06.24	Chicago Fire - Los Angeles Galaxy	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

MLS
03.07.22	San Jose Earthquakes - Chicago Fire	2:1
19.07.20	Chicago Fire - San Jose Earthquakes	0:2
18.05.19	San Jose Earthquakes - Chicago Fire	4:1
02.06.18	Chicago Fire - San Jose Earthquakes	2:1
27.09.17	San Jose Earthquakes - Chicago Fire	1:4
01.07.16	Chicago Fire - San Jose Earthquakes	1:0
22.03.15	San Jose Earthquakes - Chicago Fire	2:1

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