Match Info

MLS

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Dignity Health Sports Park (Carson, CA)

Referee: Rivas V. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Israel	Sport 1
Usa	MLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
World	Apple TV International


	Los Angeles Galaxy		Real Salt Lake

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.7	2.45	Watch
	2.68	3.7	2.48
	2.62	3.81	2.6
	2.53	3.81	2.53	Watch
	2.5	3.5	2.5
	2.59	3.83	2.61	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↑ (1.96)	3.73 ↑ (3.63)	2.53 ↓ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Los Angeles Galaxy
36.9%

Draw
25.5%

Real Salt Lake
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

25.6%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

25.4%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Los Angeles Galaxy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Los Angeles Galaxy's form might have worsened.

Real Salt Lake has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real Salt Lake's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Angeles Galaxy than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Los Angeles Galaxy, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Salt Lake than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Salt Lake, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	11.1%	66.7%

Los Angeles Galaxy - Real Salt Lake Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. LA Galaxy will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Salt Lake will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Salt Lake: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Marcinkowski J. (G) 19. Cuevas M. 5. Glesnes J. 25. Garces C. 14. Nelson J. 15. Haak J. 18. Reus M. 8. Sanabria L. 26. Miller H. 28. Paintsil J. 11. Gabriel Pec	1. Rafael Cabral (G) 72. Gozo Z. 26. Quinton P. 15. Glad J. 29. Junqua S. 8. Sanabria J. 39. Hezarkhani A. 6. Spierings S. 92. Caliskan N. 10. Luna D. 17. Olatunji V.
Substitutes
6. Cerrillo E. 76. Elgersma T. 1. Micovic N. (G) 16. Parente I. 57. Placias J. 24. Ramos R. 20. Rindov C. 22. Wynder E. 2. Yamane M.	23. Booth Z. 27. Dillon G. 9. Guilavogui M. 98. Katranis A. 11. Marczuk D. 7. Ruiz P. 22. Solans S. 31. Stajduhar M. (G) 2. Yedlin D.
Coaches
Vanney G.	Mastroeni P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Reus M. ⚽,
21', Haak J. 🟨,
42', Sanabria L. 🟨,
45+4', 1 - 1, Marcinkowski J. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Glesnes J. ↓, Cerrillo E. ↑,
48', Caliskan N. 🟨,
55', Glad J. 🟨,
56', Hezarkhani A. ↓, Guilavogui M. ↑,
56', Olatunji V. ↓, Solans S. ↑,
57', Cuevas M. 🟨,
63', Luna D. 🟨,
67', Cerrillo E. ↓, Wynder E. ↑,
72', Miller H. ↓, Yamane M. ↑,
76', Quinton P. ↓, Yedlin D. ↑,
76', Luna D. ↓, Marczuk D. ↑,
83', Junqua S. 🟨,
85', 2 - 1, Reus M. (Penalty Awarded),
87', Spierings S. ↓, Ruiz P. ↑,
89', Nelson J. ↓, Rindov C. ↑,
89', Reus M. ↓, Parente I. ↑,
90+3', Wynder E. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, LA Galaxy won 2.

LA Galaxy has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Salt Lake is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Salt Lake may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, LA Galaxy has had a series of away games.

Recently, Salt Lake has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in LA Galaxy: Joao Klauss (Foot Injury) Matheus Nascimento (Injury) Puig R. (Knee Injury) Thommy E. (Injury)

There will not play in Salt Lake: Arias J. J. (Groin Injury) Barea J. (Knee Injury) Eneli E. (Knee Injury) Piol A. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in LA Galaxy: Aude J. (Injury) Glesnes J. (Calf Injury)

There are questionable in Salt Lake: Quinton P. (Leg Injury) Wolff T. (Shoulder Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, LA Galaxy won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 30:31. (average 1.5:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, LA Galaxy won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:10. (average 1.8:1.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Real Salt Lake - the odds 3.45 are the expected chance of winning is 26.96%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Los Angeles Galaxy
MLS
22.04.26	Columbus Crew - Los Angeles Galaxy	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	FC Dallas - Los Angeles Galaxy	2:2 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
15.04.26	Los Angeles Galaxy - Toluca	0:3 ✺
MLS
11.04.26	Austin FC - Los Angeles Galaxy	1:2 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
08.04.26	Toluca - Los Angeles Galaxy	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LTLWL
- Real Salt Lake
MLS
22.04.26	Real Salt Lake - Inter Miami	0:2 ✺
18.04.26	Real Salt Lake - San Diego	4:2 ✺
04.04.26	Real Salt Lake - Sporting Kansas City	3:1 ✺
22.03.26	San Diego - Real Salt Lake	2:2 ✺
14.03.26	Real Salt Lake - Austin FC	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

MLS
31.05.25	Los Angeles Galaxy - Real Salt Lake	2:0
05.04.25	Real Salt Lake - Los Angeles Galaxy	2:0
22.06.24	Real Salt Lake - Los Angeles Galaxy	0:1
11.05.24	Los Angeles Galaxy - Real Salt Lake	2:2
14.10.23	Los Angeles Galaxy - Real Salt Lake	2:2
US Open Cup
07.06.23	Real Salt Lake - Los Angeles Galaxy	3:2
MLS
31.05.23	Real Salt Lake - Los Angeles Galaxy	2:3

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