Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL - ROUND 32

Date: 13 May 2023, Saturday

Location: Estádio José Alvalade (Lisbon)

Referee: Martins T. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Poland	Eleven Sports 3, Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovakia	Arena sport 1
Ukraine	Sport 1


	Sporting Lisbon		Marítimo

	1	X	2
	1.17	7	11	Watch
	1.17	7.75	13.5
	1.15	7	15	Watch
	1.16	8.18	19.23
	1.15	6.5	19
	1.17	7.6	15	Watch
	1.17	7.8	16
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.16 ↓ (1.21)	7.4 ↑ (6.5)	15.53 ↑ (12.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sporting Lisbon
81.2%

Draw
12.7%

Marítimo
6.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

78.1%

14.5%

7.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Marítimo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
79.2%	0%	20.8%

Sporting Lisbon - Marítimo Predictions

Users Predictions: Sporting Lisbon will win (19 of 24 users predict this - 79.17%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.92% – 95.42%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Group Stage: ) and 16 in the zone Liga Portugal (Relegation)).

Sporting has the most likely position - 4 (91.29%), project points - 73, currently - 67, not chance of relegated, a small chance of qualify for ucl (9%), not chance of win league.

Marítimo has the most likely position - 16 (81.55%), project points - 26, currently - 23, a good chance of relegated (52%), not chance of qualify for ucl.

This event has quality 55, importance 32, match rating 43. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sporting won 3.

Sporting is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Marítimo is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Sporting is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Sporting: Braganca D. (Knee Injury) Cabral J. (Injury) St. Juste J. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Marítimo: Trmal M. (Injury)

Last 28 head-to-head matches Sporting won 16 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 52-23.

Including matches at home between the teams Sporting won 12 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 37-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Lisbon
Liga Portugal
07.05.23	Paços de Ferreira - Sporting Lisbon	0:4 ✺
30.04.23	Sporting Lisbon - Famalicão	2:1 ✺
24.04.23	Vitoria Guimarães - Sporting Lisbon	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
20.04.23	Sporting Lisbon - Juventus	1:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
16.04.23	Sporting Lisbon - Arouca	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWWTT
- CS Marítimo
Liga Portugal
07.05.23	Marítimo - Rio Ave	2:2 ✺
29.04.23	Marítimo - Vitoria Guimarães	1:2 ✺
22.04.23	Famalicão - Marítimo	3:2 ✺
15.04.23	Marítimo - Paços de Ferreira	3:1 ✺
08.04.23	Arouca - Marítimo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
08.01.23	Marítimo - Sporting Lisbon	1:0
Portuguese League Cup
13.12.22	Sporting Lisbon - Marítimo	5:0
Liga Portugal
26.02.22	Marítimo - Sporting Lisbon	1:1
24.09.21	Sporting Lisbon - Marítimo	1:0
19.05.21	Sporting Lisbon - Marítimo	5:1
05.02.21	Marítimo - Sporting Lisbon	0:2
Taça de Portugal
11.01.21	Marítimo - Sporting Lisbon	2:0

Upcoming Matches