Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga 3 - Round 10

Date: 1 November 2024, Friday

Location: CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira (Alcochete)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11, Sporting TV


	Sporting Lisbon B		Covilhã

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.4	3.8
	1.8	3.4	4
	1.87	3.67	4.07
	1.82	3.68	4.09	Watch
	1.88	3.55	3.91
	1.8	3.4	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.78)	3.52 ↓ (3.53)	3.98 ↓ (4.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting Lisbon B
50.6%

Draw
26.2%

Covilhã
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

26.2%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

26.1%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Lisbon B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Covilhã has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Lisbon B than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Covilhã than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Sporting Lisbon B - Covilhã Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Silva F. (G) 66. Alves M. 67. Anjos L. 81. Arreiol H. 49. Barroso L. 77. Besugo R. 50. Brito A. 78. Couto M. 73. Felicissimo E. 58. Goncalves F. 88. Mendonca M. (C)	53. Oliveira P. R. (G) 4. Caveira T. 44. David Santos 11. Dener 19. Duarte L. 55. Garcia F. 15. Nico 91. Paula G. 70. Peixoto R. 77. Ramalho D. (C) 10. Salgado L. M.
Substitutes
89. Cardoso N. 80. Gomes L. 96. Justo S. 79. Marques R. 84. Migueis P. (G) 71. Santos D. 82. Silva G. 44. Silva P. 95. Taibo Dominguez L.	1. Araujo I. (G) 16. Cornelio D. 17. Filipe L. 6. Maio F. 9. Paulinho 89. Piteira 13. Ribeiro P. 5. Ze Simao

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', Couto M. 🟨,
42', 1 - 0, Couto M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Arreiol H. 🟨,
64', Duarte L. ↓, Paulinho ↑,
69', Silva F. 🟨,
72', Paula G. 🟨,
74', Paula G. ↓, Oliveira L. ↑,
77', Mendonca M. ↓, Justo S. ↑,
77', Goncalves F. ↓, Gomes L. ↑,
82', Nico 🟨,
84', Garcia F. ↓, Maio F. ↑,
85', Peixoto R. ↓, Ze Simao ↑,
85', Nico ↓, Piteira ↑,
89', Anjos L. ↓, Marques R. ↑,
89', Arreiol H. ↓, Taibo Dominguez L. ↑,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 7 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sporting Lisbon B won 2.

Now both teams are in good shape.

In this match Sporting Lisbon B is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Sporting Lisbon B won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15:16 (average 1.1:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Sporting Lisbon B won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:7 (average 0.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Lisbon B
Portuguese Liga 3
28.10.24	Sporting Lisbon B - SC Lusitânia	0:0 ✺
English Premier League International Cup
18.10.24	Crystal Palace U21 - Sporting Lisbon B	1:2 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
06.10.24	Belenenses - Sporting Lisbon B	1:1 ✺
27.09.24	Sporting Lisbon B - 1 Dezembro	1:1 ✺
13.09.24	Caldas - Sporting Lisbon B	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TWTTW
- Sporting Covilhã
Portuguese Liga 3
26.10.24	União de Santarém - Covilhã	0:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
20.10.24	Covilhã - Moncarapachense	3:2 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
05.10.24	Covilhã - Oliveira Hospital	1:0 ✺
29.09.24	Atlético CP - Covilhã	1:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
22.09.24	Covilhã - Pombal	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
03.08.24	Covilhã - Sporting Lisbon B	2:3
12.11.23	Sporting Lisbon B - Covilhã	2:2
13.08.23	Covilhã - Sporting Lisbon B	3:0
Portuguese Liga 2
13.01.18	Sporting Lisbon B - Covilhã	0:1
06.08.17	Covilhã - Sporting Lisbon B	1:2
23.01.17	Sporting Lisbon B - Covilhã	1:1
14.08.16	Covilhã - Sporting Lisbon B	1:2

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