The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sporting Lisbon B 34.4%
Draw 28.8%
Benfica B 36.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.1%
26.2%
38.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.7%
25.9%
39.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sporting Lisbon B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
Benfica B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Lisbon B than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica B than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
0%
50%
Sporting Lisbon B - Benfica B Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Sporting B will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Benfica B will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting B: 15.4% โ 84.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
99. Silva F. (G) 85. Mota R. 43. Muniz J. 45. Moreira D. (C) 50. Dias R. 60. Rayan Lucas 96. Justo S. 87. Cardoso P. 78. Couto M. 67. Anjos L. 58. Goncalves F.
51. Voitinovicius A. (G) 58. Banjaqui D. 64. Oliveira G. 94. Silva R. 62. Neto J. 60. Felix N. 86. Prioste D. (C) 84. Rego J. 77. Moreira G. 74. Tome O. 72. Anisio
Substitutes
77. Besugo R. 54. Bruno Ramos 68. Costa D. 73. Felicissimo E. 94. Guzman V. 88. Mendonca M. 76. Migueis P. (G) 49. Romulus 82. Silva G.
54. Bernardes de Freitas Neto F. 95. de Sousa T. 87. Edokpolor P. 85. Ferreira M. 73. Figueiredo M. 88. Freitas T. 89. Parente T. 98. Ribeiro R. (G) 96. Trevisan J.
Coaches
Joao Giao
Verissimo N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
44', Banjaqui D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Couto M. 🟨,
59', Rayan Lucas ↓, Felicissimo E. ↑,
59', Mota R. ↓, Bruno Ramos ↑,
62', 0 - 1, Prioste D. ⚽,
64', Anisio ↓, Trevisan J. ↑,
64', Felix N. ↓, Figueiredo M. ↑,
73', Couto M. ↓, Mendonca M. ↑,
73', Anjos L. ↓, Guzman V. ↑,
74', Tome O. 🟨,
75', Tome O. ↓, Edokpolor P. ↑,
76', Silva R. ↓, Ferreira M. ↑,
80', Rego J. 🟨,
83', Dias R. ↓, Besugo R. ↑,
86', Moreira G. ↓, Bernardes de Freitas Neto F. ↑,
89', Felicissimo E. 🟨,
90+3', Figueiredo M. 🟨,
90+3', Trevisan J. 🟨,
90+6', Voitinovicius A. 🟨,
90+9', Bruno Ramos 🟥,
90+9', Goncalves F. 🟨,
Preview
This time weโll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting B won 0.
Sporting B has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Benfica B has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Sporting B won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 12:18. (average 0.9:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Sporting B won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.2:1.7).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Sporting CP B
6
4
0
2
8:6
2
12
6
Benfica B
6
3
1
2
7:5
2
10
Last Results with these Odds
Sporting Lisbon B - the odds 2.66 are the expected chance of winning is 35.1%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.