Match Info

Liga Revelacao U23 - Round 10

Date: 30 October 2025, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Sporting Lisbon U23		Estrela da Amadora U23

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.45	3.6
	1.48	4.51	5.52	Watch
	1.77	3.5	4.03	Watch
	1.54	4	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.49)	3.87 ↓ (4.33)	4.54 ↓ (5.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting Lisbon U23
55.8%

Draw
23.9%

Estrela da Amadora U23
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.4%

21.1%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

14.9%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Lisbon U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sporting Lisbon U23's form might have worsened.

Estrela da Amadora U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon U23 than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sporting Lisbon U23 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estrela da Amadora U23 than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Sporting Lisbon U23 - Estrela da Amadora U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
90+1', 1 - 0, ⚽,
90+2', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Liga Revelacao U23 (Losers stage: ) and 8 in the zone Liga Revelacao U23 (Losers stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting U23 won 4.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Sporting U23 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Sporting U23 has had a series of home games.

In this match, Sporting U23 is seen as the favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Sporting U23 won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Sporting U23 won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 0.8:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Lisbon U23
Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
25.10.25	Sporting Lisbon U23 - Leiria U23	1:1 ✺
16.10.25	Portimonense U23 - Sporting Lisbon U23	1:0 ✺
12.10.25	Sporting Lisbon U23 - Torreense U23	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	Sporting Lisbon U23 - Benfica U23	0:1 ✺
21.09.25	Sporting Lisbon U23 - Farense U23	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TLLLW
- Estrela da Amadora U23
Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
21.10.25	Estrela da Amadora U23 - Farense U23	0:2 ✺
11.10.25	Estrela da Amadora U23 - Leiria U23	1:1 ✺
06.10.25	Torreense U23 - Estrela da Amadora U23	2:1 ✺
30.09.25	Estoril U23 - Estrela da Amadora U23	3:3 ✺
23.09.25	Estrela da Amadora U23 - Santa Clara U23	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
10.08.25	Estrela da Amadora U23 - Sporting Lisbon U23	1:3
30.04.25	Sporting Lisbon U23 - Estrela da Amadora U23	2:1
25.02.25	Estrela da Amadora U23 - Sporting Lisbon U23	2:0
13.12.24	Estrela da Amadora U23 - Sporting Lisbon U23	0:1
21.09.24	Sporting Lisbon U23 - Estrela da Amadora U23	1:0
12.03.24	Sporting Lisbon U23 - Estrela da Amadora U23	0:0
23.01.24	Estrela da Amadora U23 - Sporting Lisbon U23	1:4

Sporting Lisbon U23 - Estrela da Amadora U23: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide