Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 41

Date: 25 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Molinón (Gijón)

Referee: Orellana M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Spain	GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+


	Sporting de Gijón		Cartagena

	1	X	2
	1.29	5	11	Watch
	1.27	5.25	9.5
	1.28	5.2	10	Watch
	1.28	5.65	10.31
	1.29	5.39	11.08	Watch
	1.29	5	11
	1.28	5.4	11.5	Watch
	1.28	5.2	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↑ (1.19)	5.26 ↓ (6.48)	10.55 ↓ (14.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting de Gijón
73.2%

Draw
17.9%

Cartagena
8.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

78.9%

14.5%

6.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting de Gijón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sporting de Gijón's form might have worsened.

Cartagena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.7%	7.1%	57.1%

Sporting de Gijón - Cartagena Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Sporting de Gijón will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Cartagena will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cartagena: 31.2% – 83%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cartagena will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Yanez R. (G) 2. Rosas G. 4. Pier R. 22. Sanchez D. 3. Cote 6. Martin N. 10. Mendez N. 9. Queipo D. 18. Gelabert Pina C. 7. Campos G. 19. Otero J.	40. Fuidias T. (G) 19. Aguirregabiria M. 4. Alcala P. 2. Moreno J. 20. Nacho 17. Andy 5. Ndiaye Dione A. 32. Luna D. 16. Machin J. 11. Clemente O. 14. Millan A.
Substitutes
11. Campuzano V. 23. Curbelo E. 12. Dotor C. 5. Garcia P. 13. Joel C. (G) 15. Maras N. 38. Moreno G. (G) 14. Olaetxea L. 27. Oyon A. 21. Serrano N.	1. Cunat P. (G) 21. Delmas J. 33. El Jebari S. 10. Escriche D. 6. Mini 38. Nunez R. 9. Ortuno A. 30. Reyes J. (G) 24. Sipcic N. 12. Vukcevic A.
Coaches
Garitano A.	Fernandez G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', Moreno J. 🟨,
25', 0 - 1, Luna D. ⚽, Clemente O. (A),
34', Ndiaye Dione A. ↓, Mini ↑,
44', Aguirregabiria M. 🟨,
45+5', 1 - 1, Gelabert Pina C. ⚽, Campos G. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Moreno J. ↓, Delmas J. ↑,
46', Aguirregabiria M. ↓, Sipcic N. ↑,
46', Pier R. ↓, Maras N. ↑,
53', Mini 🟨,
59', 2 - 1, Campos G. ⚽, Sanchez D. (A),
60', Queipo D. ↓, Serrano N. ↑,
63', 3 - 1, Martin N. ⚽, Campos G. (A),
67', Machin J. ↓, Nunez R. ↑,
69', Otero J. ↓, Campuzano V. ↑,
69', Mendez N. ↓, Dotor C. ↑,
79', Cote ↓, Garcia P. ↑,
81', Alcala P. ↓, Vukcevic A. ↑,
85', 3 - 2, Nacho ⚽, Clemente O. (A),

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Cartagena is Relegated to

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting de Gijón won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Sporting de Gijón is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Sporting de Gijón: Bernal J. (Injury) Dubasin J. (Muscle Injury) Vazquez K. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Cartagena: Munoz L. (Knee Injury) Olivas K. (Injury) Valles G. (Injury)

There are questionable in Sporting de Gijón: Caicedo J. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Cartagena: Clemente O. (Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Sporting de Gijón won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Sporting de Gijón won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting de Gijón
Spanish LaLiga2
17.05.25	Málaga - Sporting de Gijón	2:1 ✺
10.05.25	Sporting de Gijón - Deportivo A Coruña	2:1 ✺
05.05.25	Castellón - Sporting de Gijón	4:3 ✺
25.04.25	Cádiz - Sporting de Gijón	1:0 ✺
18.04.25	Sporting de Gijón - Mirandés	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWLLW
- FC Cartagena
Spanish LaLiga2
17.05.25	Cartagena - Tenerife	1:0 ✺
10.05.25	Zaragoza - Cartagena	3:2 ✺
04.05.25	Cartagena - Racing Santander	1:0 ✺
26.04.25	Albacete Balompié - Cartagena	3:1 ✺
20.04.25	Cartagena - Granada	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
09.12.24	Cartagena - Sporting de Gijón	1:0
13.04.24	Sporting de Gijón - Cartagena	1:0
02.12.23	Cartagena - Sporting de Gijón	1:0
22.04.23	Cartagena - Sporting de Gijón	2:1
11.12.22	Sporting de Gijón - Cartagena	0:0
Club Friendly
23.07.22	Cartagena - Sporting de Gijón	0:3
Spanish LaLiga2
26.03.22	Sporting de Gijón - Cartagena	4:1

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