Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 24

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio El Plantío (Burgos)

Referee: Muresan S. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Burgos		Leganés

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.75	3.6	Watch
	2.3	2.78	3.5
	2.35	2.86	3.9
	2.29	2.83	3.81	Watch
	2.3	2.7	3.5
	2.28	2.83	3.84	Watch
	2.25	2.8	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.35)	2.79 ↓ (2.89)	3.71 ↑ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burgos
41%

Draw
33.6%

Leganés
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

32.3%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

32.9%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burgos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Leganés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	12.5%	50%

Burgos - Leganés Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Burgos will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Leganés will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leganés: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Burgos (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Cantero A. (G) 2. Lizancos A. 6. Gonzalez S. 8. Sierra G. 12. Miguel F. 14. Gonzalez Ballesteros D. 23. Morante I. 5. Atienza M. (C) 21. Cordoba I. 9. Nino F. 16. Curro	1. Soriano J. (G) 7. Pena R. (C) 6. Aguilar Lopez G. 2. Marvel 15. Franquesa E. 24. Diawara A. 8. Cisse S. 20. Plano O. 10. Cruz J. 23. Millan A. 9. Rodriguez D.
Substitutes
10. Appin K. 15. Bunuel A. 17. Cantero M. 28. del Cerro S. 4. Galdames P. 31. Garcia F. 20. Gonzalez M. 3. Luengo O. 22. Martinez B. 7. Mejia M. 11. Mollejo V. 1. Ruiz J. (G)	12. Asue L. 11. Duk 19. Garcia D. 17. Garcia N. 26. Guirao C. 36. Leiva M. 14. Lopez R. 16. Melero G. 5. Miquel I. 18. Pauwels B. 3. Saenz J. 13. San Roman M. (G)
Coaches
Ramis L.	Oca I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Atienza M. 🟨,
29', Millan A. 🟨,
39', Morante I. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
48', 1 - 0, Gonzalez Ballesteros D. ⚽, Cordoba I. (A),
59', Diawara A. 🟨,
65', Curro ↓, Appin K. ↑,
65', Morante I. ↓, Galdames P. ↑,
66', Miguel F. 🟨,
66', Millan A. ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
66', Rodriguez D. ↓, Duk ↑,
76', Nino F. ↓, Mollejo V. ↑,
76', Pena R. ↓, Garcia N. ↑,
76', Franquesa E. ↓, Melero G. ↑,
79', Galdames P. 🟨,
84', Diawara A. ↓, Asue L. ↑,
84', 1 - 1, Plano O. ⚽,
90+1', Cordoba I. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 1, Gonzalez M. ⚽, Lizancos A. (A),

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burgos won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Leganés may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Burgos might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Burgos: Chapela I. (Injury)

There will not play in Leganés: Figueredo S. (Injury) Pulido R. (Knee Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Burgos won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Burgos won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Burgos CF	8	4	2	2	12:9	3	14
15	Leganes	9	3	2	4	6:14	-8	11

Last Results with these Odds

Leganés - the odds 3.36 are the expected chance of winning is 27.81%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burgos CF
Spanish LaLiga2
23.01.26	Málaga - Burgos	3:0 ✺
18.01.26	Burgos - Huesca	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
15.01.26	Burgos - Valencia	0:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
10.01.26	Burgos - Eibar	1:0 ✺
03.01.26	Córdoba - Burgos	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWLWL
- CD Leganés
Spanish LaLiga2
24.01.26	Leganés - Real Sociedad B	2:0 ✺
16.01.26	Castellón - Leganés	2:0 ✺
11.01.26	Leganés - Valladolid	3:0 ✺
04.01.26	Albacete Balompié - Leganés	1:3 ✺
20.12.25	Leganés - Sporting de Gijón	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
01.11.25	Leganés - Burgos	1:2
22.01.24	Leganés - Burgos	2:0
04.10.23	Burgos - Leganés	1:0
12.05.23	Burgos - Leganés	0:3
18.09.22	Leganés - Burgos	0:0
23.01.22	Burgos - Leganés	4:0
23.08.21	Leganés - Burgos	0:0

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