Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 25

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio José Zorrilla (Valladolid)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Uruguay	DAZN, Disney+
Venezuela	DAZN, Disney+


	Valladolid		Castellón

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.3	2.2	Watch
	3	3.3	2.25	Watch
	3.28	3.41	2.29
	3.17	3.45	2.24	Watch
	3.1	3.2	2.2
	3.15	3.36	2.29	Watch
	3.2	3.33	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↑ (2.94)	3.34 ↑ (3.3)	2.24 ↓ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valladolid
29.9%

Draw
28.2%

Castellón
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

28.6%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

29.6%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valladolid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valladolid than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	21.4%	28.6%

Valladolid - Castellón Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Valladolid will win (votes: 7 - 50%). Castellón will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Valladolid: 23.8% – 76.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Valladolid (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Valladolid (2.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Valladolid (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Guilherme Fernandes (G) 5. Martinez R. 15. Tomeo P. 4. Torres D. 30. Modesto H. 16. Maroto M. 8. Meseguer Cavas V. A. (C) 22. Peter Federico 20. Chuki 17. Biuk S. 25. Erlien V.	13. Matthys R. (G) 27. Fadel I. 5. Jimenez A. (C) 4. Sienra A. 12. Alcazar L. 14. Sanchez R. 8. Barri 15. Gerenabarrena B. 16. Cipenga B. 9. Camara O. 10. Suero I.
Substitutes
1. Aceves A. (G) 12. Alani I. 7. Canos S. 18. Clerc C. 27. Garriel I. 23. Jaouab M. 9. Latasa J. 10. Marcos Andre 2. Michelin C. 21. Ponceau J. 19. Sanseviero L.	1. Abedzadeh A. (G) 21. Calatrava A. 29. De Nipoti T. 6. Doue M. 23. Garcia A. 19. Jakobsen A. 7. Mabil A. 25. Ronaldo 17. Ruiz S. 18. Santiago P. 2. Tincho 55. Willman M.
Coaches
Tevenet L.	Hernandez P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
21', 0 - 1, Camara O. ⚽, Gerenabarrena B. (A),
24', 0 - 2, Barri ⚽, Suero I. (A),
38', 0 - 3, Barri ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Tomeo P. ↓, Jaouab M. ↑,
46', Erlien V. ↓, Latasa J. ↑,
46', Biuk S. ↓, Sanseviero L. ↑,
52', Jimenez A. 🟨,
55', Meseguer Cavas V. A. 🟨,
64', Suero I. ↓, Calatrava A. ↑,
64', Sanchez R. ↓, Mabil A. ↑,
70', Gerenabarrena B. 🟨,
72', Camara O. ↓, Jakobsen A. ↑,
75', Meseguer Cavas V. A. ↓, Ponceau J. ↑,
80', Fadel I. ↓, Ruiz S. ↑,
80', Barri ↓, Doue M. ↑,
81', 0 - 4, Cipenga B. ⚽, Calatrava A. (A),
83', Maroto M. ↓, Alani I. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga).

Valladolid is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Castellón is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Valladolid may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Castellón might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Valladolid: Bueno G. (Injury) Juric S. (Red Card) Lachuer M. (Inactive) Michelin C. (Inactive) Ndiaye A. (Injury)

There will not play in Castellón: Aurelio D. (Knee Injury) Brignani F. (Yellow Cards) Mellot J. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Valladolid: Peter Federico (Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Valladolid won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Castellon	9	6	2	1	15:4	11	20
17	Valladolid	8	2	3	3	8:11	-3	9

Last Results with these Odds

Valladolid - the odds 2.94 are the expected chance of winning is 32.15%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Valladolid
Spanish LaLiga2
31.01.26	Córdoba - Valladolid	3:1 ✺
24.01.26	Valladolid - Albacete Balompié	0:1 ✺
17.01.26	Ceuta - Valladolid	0:3 ✺
11.01.26	Leganés - Valladolid	3:0 ✺
03.01.26	Valladolid - Racing Santander	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLWLT
- CD Castellón
Spanish LaLiga2
01.02.26	Castellón - FC Andorra	2:0 ✺
25.01.26	Zaragoza - Castellón	0:0 ✺
16.01.26	Castellón - Leganés	2:0 ✺
11.01.26	Granada - Castellón	0:0 ✺
03.01.26	Castellón - Huesca	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
22.08.25	Castellón - Valladolid	0:1

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