The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sportivo Belgrano 44.3%
Draw 32.7%
Sarmiento de La Banda 23%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.9%
29.5%
23.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.3%
27.5%
22%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sportivo Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
Sarmiento de La Banda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Belgrano than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sportivo Belgrano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarmiento de La Banda than the current prediction. (-1%)
Sportivo Belgrano - Sarmiento de La Banda Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Martina L. (G)
2. Beltran C.
11. Bono J.
5. Caviglia J.
8. Churchi S.
6. Ferrero G.
4. Ferreyra L. (C)
10. Franceschi E.
7. Lehmann A.
9. Lesman G.
3. Pennesi T.
Substitutes
12. Carena J. (G)
17. Forlin M.
15. Gancedo M.
16. Gimenez J.
20. Mercado E.
13. Paiz J.
18. Pastorelli A.
14. Racca F.
19. Sagristani M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, ⚽,
35', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', 1 - 1, ⚽,
51', 🟨,
67', 🟨,
77', 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,
Preview
First leg.
A direct clash near the foot of the table where neither side can afford to drop points (ranked 9th in the Promotion - Torneo Federal Promotion - Playoffs and 8th in the Promotion - Torneo Federal Promotion - Playoffs).
The recent form of both sides has fallen below expectations.
Sportivo Belgrano is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Sportivo Belgrano has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 4:4 (averaging 1.3:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Sportivo Belgrano against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 4:1 goals.