Match Info

Date: 24 August 2022, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Sportivo Peñarol		Círculo Deportivo

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.25	4.6
	1.65	3.25	5.25
	1.71	3.3	4.6
	1.62	3.31	5.22
	1.64	3.4	5.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.89)	3.3 ↑ (3.04)	4.95 ↑ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportivo Peñarol
54.4%

Draw
27.4%

Círculo Deportivo
18.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.8%

29.7%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

28.8%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo Peñarol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sportivo Peñarol's performance.

Círculo Deportivo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Peñarol than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sportivo Peñarol that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Círculo Deportivo than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	25%	12.5%

Sportivo Peñarol - Círculo Deportivo Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Sportivo Peñarol will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Círculo Deportivo will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sportivo Peñarol: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 and 15).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Sportivo Peñarol could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sportivo Peñarol is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sportivo Peñarol won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Sportivo Peñarol won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo Peñarol
Argentinian Torneo Federal
20.08.22	Argentino Monte Maíz - Sportivo Peñarol	0:1 ✺
07.08.22	Independiente Chivilcoy - Sportivo Peñarol	3:1 ✺
31.07.22	Sportivo Peñarol - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	0:2 ✺
24.07.22	Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis - Sportivo Peñarol	4:1 ✺
20.07.22	Sportivo Peñarol - Deportivo Camioneros	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLLLW
- Círculo Deportivo
Argentinian Torneo Federal
20.08.22	Círculo Deportivo - Ferro Gen.Pico	2:1 ✺
14.08.22	Juventud Unida Universitario - Círculo Deportivo	1:0 ✺
07.08.22	Círculo Deportivo - CA Liniers	1:1 ✺
24.07.22	Argentino Monte Maíz - Círculo Deportivo	3:1 ✺
20.07.22	Círculo Deportivo - Sol de Mayo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
15.05.22	Círculo Deportivo - Sportivo Peñarol	2:2
21.08.21	Círculo Deportivo - Sportivo Peñarol	1:2
25.04.21	Sportivo Peñarol - Círculo Deportivo	2:2
13.12.20	Círculo Deportivo - Sportivo Peñarol	0:1
24.11.19	Círculo Deportivo - Sportivo Peñarol	2:1

Sportivo Peñarol - Círculo Deportivo