Match Info
Date: 24 August 2022, Wednesday
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 |
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 |
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Sportivo Peñarol |
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Círculo Deportivo |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.7 |
3.25 |
4.6 |
|
 |
1.65 |
3.25 |
5.25 |
|
 |
1.71 |
3.3 |
4.6 |
|
 |
1.62 |
3.31 |
5.22 |
|
 |
1.64 |
3.4 |
5.1 |
 Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.66 ↓
(1.89) |
3.3 ↑
(3.04) |
4.95 ↑
(4) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Sportivo Peñarol
54.4% | Draw
27.4% | Círculo Deportivo
18.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sportivo Peñarol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sportivo Peñarol's performance.Círculo Deportivo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Peñarol than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sportivo Peñarol that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Círculo Deportivo than the current prediction. (+3.6%)Sportivo Peñarol - Círculo Deportivo Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Sportivo Peñarol will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Círculo Deportivo will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sportivo Peñarol: 29% – 96%.Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 and 15). Both teams are now playing unstable. Sportivo Peñarol could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days. In this match Sportivo Peñarol is a favorite.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Sportivo Peñarol won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-7. Including matches at home between the teams Sportivo Peñarol won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Argentinian Torneo Federal | | | 15.05.22 | Círculo Deportivo - Sportivo Peñarol | 2:2 | | 21.08.21 | Círculo Deportivo - Sportivo Peñarol | 1:2 | | 25.04.21 | Sportivo Peñarol - Círculo Deportivo | 2:2 | | 13.12.20 | Círculo Deportivo - Sportivo Peñarol | 0:1 | | 24.11.19 | Círculo Deportivo - Sportivo Peñarol | 2:1 |
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