The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sportivo San Lorenzo 14%
Draw 21.6%
Cerro Porteño 64.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
13.3%
22.1%
64.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
12.9%
21.4%
66.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sportivo San Lorenzo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
Cerro Porteño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Sportivo San Lorenzo - Cerro Porteño Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 3 - over (2.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Franco L. (G) 2. Esteche L. 19. Caceres L. 4. Doldan J. 20. Meza Montiel D. 8. Amarilla R. 16. Benitez A. 21. Gonzalez H. 28. Gerzel G. 7. Salcedo S. (C) 9. Barrios J.
12. Martinez A. (G) 16. Ramirez I. 23. Velazquez G. (C) 6. Merolla L. 15. Riveros B. 5. Morel J. 7. Rodriguez D. 32. Bobadilla C. 34. Chena C. 40. Klimowicz M. 19. Vegetti P.
Substitutes
24. Aguero M. 33. Centurion G. (G) 39. Cohener L. 25. Fernandez K. 22. Ferreira Gonzalez K. 23. Ferreira M. 13. Fretes I. 27. Ortiz E. 5. Paredes T. 38. Roganovich I. D. 37. Salcedo S. 6. Villamayor H.
31. Aliseda I. 20. Almendra A. E. 21. Araujo S. 4. Canete Torres A. D. 35. Chaparro M. 38. Cristaldo A. 28. Franco C. 18. Gamarra A. 30. Gimenez G. 1. Roffo M. (G) 39. Servin L. J. 27. Torres J.
Coaches
Fornasari P.
Costas G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Esteche L. (Own goal),
36', 0 - 2, Vegetti P. ⚽, Rodriguez D. (A),
41', Caceres L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Amarilla R. ↓, Ferreira Gonzalez K. ↑,
46', Benitez A. ↓, Cohener L. ↑,
46', Salcedo S. ↓, Ferreira M. ↑,
47', 1 - 2, Barrios J. ⚽,
51', Bobadilla C. 🟨,
51', Merolla L. 🟨,
65', Rodriguez D. ↓, Aliseda I. ↑,
65', Bobadilla C. ↓, Gamarra A. ↑,
66', Gonzalez H. 🟨,
77', Klimowicz M. ↓, Canete Torres A. D. ↑,
78', Meza Montiel D. ↓, Fretes I. ↑,
78', Gonzalez H. ↓, Ortiz E. ↑,
83', Morel J. 🟨,
84', Doldan J. 🟨,
86', Vegetti P. ↓, Araujo S. ↑,
86', Chena C. ↓, Gimenez G. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 3, Aliseda I. ⚽, Araujo S. (A),
90+5', Ferreira M. 🟨,
Preview
Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 12th and 7th).
Recent results have been tough for Sportivo San Lorenzo (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Cerro Porteño is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Recently, Cerro Porteño has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Cerro Porteño holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Sportivo San Lorenzo has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:10 (averaging 1:2.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Sportivo San Lorenzo against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 2:4 goals.