Match Info

Division Intermedia - Round 8

Date: 13 May 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Parque del Guairá (Villarrica)

Where to Watch on TV:


Paraguay	Tigo Sports


	Guaireña		Sportivo San Lorenzo

	1	X	2
	3.8	2.9	1.93
	3.6	3	2.04
	3.7	2.94	2.11
	3.43	3.11	2.11	Watch
	3.4	3.3	1.95
	3.41	3.06	2.09
	3.6	3	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.56 ↑ (2.8)	3.04 ↑ (2.9)	2.04 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Guaireña
25.5%

Draw
29.9%

Sportivo San Lorenzo
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

31.2%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

31.2%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guaireña has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guaireña's form might have worsened.

Sportivo San Lorenzo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sportivo San Lorenzo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guaireña than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guaireña, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sportivo San Lorenzo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.1%	21.4%	71.4%

Guaireña - Sportivo San Lorenzo Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Guaireña will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Sportivo San Lorenzo will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sportivo San Lorenzo: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Sportivo San Lorenzo (4.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sportivo San Lorenzo will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Sportivo San Lorenzo (votes: 8 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
28', 0 - 1, Duarte J. ⚽,
45+2', 0 - 2, Medina C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa de Primera (Apertura: )).

Guaireña is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sportivo San Lorenzo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Guaireña won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guaireña FC
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
08.05.25	Guaireña - Sportivo Carapeguá	1:1 ✺
03.05.25	Independiente Asuncion - Guaireña	0:0 ✺
25.04.25	Guaireña - Sol de América	2:0 ✺
20.04.25	Fernando de la Mora - Guaireña	0:1 ✺
11.04.25	Guaireña - Encarnación	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.9 TTWWW
- Sportivo San Lorenzo
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
08.05.25	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Guarani de Fram	2:1 ✺
03.05.25	Sportivo Carapeguá - Sportivo San Lorenzo	2:0 ✺
26.04.25	Sportivo San Lorenzo - River Plate Asunción	3:0 ✺
20.04.25	Independiente Asuncion - Sportivo San Lorenzo	1:1 ✺
14.04.25	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Rubio Ñu	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Division Intermedia
19.07.24	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Guaireña	0:0

Upcoming Matches