Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - QUALIFICATION - FINAL

Date: 6 March 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Tigo La Huerta (Asunción)

Referee: Herrera A. (Ven)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Portugal	Sport TV2


	Sportivo Trinidense		Colo-Colo

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.2	2.05	Watch
	3.7	3.1	2.05
	3.6	3.25	2.05	Watch
	3.75	3.28	2.14
	3.7	3.28	2.13
	3.5	3.2	2	Watch
	3.74	3.3	2.02	Watch
	3.55	3.15	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.64 ↑ (3.41)	3.22 ↓ (3.28)	2.06 ↑ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportivo Trinidense
25.6%

Draw
29%

Colo-Colo
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27%

28.1%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4%

27.5%

45.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo Trinidense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Colo-Colo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Trinidense than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colo-Colo than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Sportivo Trinidense - Colo Colo Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Colo-Colo will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Colo-Colo: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Samudio V. (G) 23. Benitez C. 4. Flores G. 3. Villalba D. 20. Alonso W. 24. De la Cruz L. 28. Riveros M. (C) 13. Salcedo J. 10. Delvalle P. 17. Roman J. 18. Romero F.	1. Cortes B. (G) 16. Opazo Lara O. 4. Saldivia A. 37. Falcon M. 21. Wiemberg E. 14. Zavala C. 5. Gil L. 8. Pavez E. (C) 34. Pizarro V. 7. Carlos Palacios 11. Bolados M.
Substitutes
30. Andrada B. 7. Arce P. 11. Bonetto J. 9. Gimenez O. 6. Jorge J. 14. Mendoza S. 16. Ordonez C. 25. Pereira A. 1. Quinonez W. (G) 29. Rayer T. 2. Ruiz Diaz A. 38. Sinisterra J.	15. Amor E. 32. Cepeda L. 30. De Paul F. (G) 6. Fuentes C. 33. Gonzalez R. 13. Gutierrez B. 3. Gutierrez D. 26. Moya M. 29. Paiva G. 9. Pizarro D. 2. Rojas J. 28. Soto L.
Coaches
Arrua J.	Almiron J.

Preview

1st leg.

Sportivo Trinidense is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Colo-Colo is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Colo-Colo will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo Trinidense
Paraguayan Primera Division
03.03.24	General Caballero JLM - Sportivo Trinidense	3:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
29.02.24	El Nacional - Sportivo Trinidense	0:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
25.02.24	Sportivo Trinidense - Sportivo Ameliano	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
22.02.24	Sportivo Trinidense - El Nacional	1:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
18.02.24	Nacional Asuncion - Sportivo Trinidense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LWLTL
- Colo-Colo
Chilean Primera Division
03.03.24	Colo-Colo - Huachipato	2:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
29.02.24	Colo-Colo - Godoy Cruz	0:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
25.02.24	OHiggins - Colo-Colo	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
22.02.24	Godoy Cruz - Colo-Colo	0:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
17.02.24	Unión Española - Colo-Colo	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WTLWW

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