Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - QUALIFICATION - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 29 February 2024, Thursday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa (Quito)

Referee: Ospina J. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Brazil	ESPN 4


	El Nacional		Sportivo Trinidense

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.33	5.75	Watch
	1.46	4.6	6
	1.45	4.5	6.5	Watch
	1.49	4.5	6
	1.49	4.35	6.62
	1.4	4.5	6.5	Watch
	1.45	4.65	6.23	Watch
	1.44	4.4	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.52)	4.48 ↑ (4.2)	6.2 ↑ (5.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

El Nacional
64.2%

Draw
20.8%

Sportivo Trinidense
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.3%

22.2%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

El Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Sportivo Trinidense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	30%	10%

El Nacional - Sportivo Trinidense Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. El Nacional will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Sportivo Trinidense will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for El Nacional: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Chala L. (G) 43. Ordonez J. 26. Peralta K. 4. Cabezas R. 19. Gracia A. 27. Torres B. 14. Tana B. 6. Olmedo M. 16. Mejia E. 18. Palacios B. 77. Minda T.	12. Samudio V. (G) 24. De la Cruz L. 4. Flores G. 3. Villalba D. 14. Mendoza S. 23. Benitez C. 13. Salcedo J. 10. Delvalle P. 17. Roman J. 28. Riveros M. (C) 18. Romero F.
Substitutes
25. Arboleda E. 11. Asprilla G. 9. Balda M. 70. Burbano J. 12. Cabezas D. (G) 33. Chere A. 13. Gomez L. 55. Lara T. 58. Lozano M. 21. Mena A. 10. Ona B. 23. Patino D.	20. Alonso W. 30. Andrada B. 7. Arce P. 9. Gimenez O. 6. Jorge J. 16. Ordonez C. 35. Pereira A. 1. Quinonez W. (G) 29. Rayer T. 25. Rodas M. (G) 2. Ruiz Diaz A. 38. Sinisterra J.
Coaches
Almeida E.	Arrua J.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-1.

Sportivo Trinidense is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sportivo Trinidense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match El Nacional is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches El Nacional won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD El Nacional
Copa Libertadores
22.02.24	Sportivo Trinidense - El Nacional	1:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
02.12.23	El Nacional - Independiente del Valle	2:1 ✺
25.11.23	Deportivo Cuenca - El Nacional	1:0 ✺
12.11.23	El Nacional - Gualaceo	4:2 ✺
05.11.23	Barcelona Guayaquil - El Nacional	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TWLWL
- Sportivo Trinidense
Paraguayan Primera Division
25.02.24	Sportivo Trinidense - Sportivo Ameliano	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
22.02.24	Sportivo Trinidense - El Nacional	1:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
18.02.24	Nacional Asuncion - Sportivo Trinidense	2:1 ✺
09.02.24	Sportivo Trinidense - Tacuary	1:3 ✺
02.02.24	Sol de América - Sportivo Trinidense	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
22.02.24	Sportivo Trinidense - El Nacional	1:1

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