Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 9

Date: 27 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	St Albans City		Burgess Hill Town

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.95	4.20
	1.62	4.21	4.29	Watch
	1.58	4.00	4.20
	1.58	4.05	4.39
	1.58	4.00	4.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.62)	4.04 ↓ (4.21)	4.26 ↓ (4.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St Albans City
56.6%

Draw
22.2%

Burgess Hill Town
21.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

56.7%

21.8%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2%

23.9%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St Albans City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Burgess Hill Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St Albans City than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for St Albans City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burgess Hill Town than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

St Albans City - Burgess Hill Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Brown K. ⚽,
44', 2 - 0, Sowden-Fletcher Z. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
63', 2 - 1, (Own goal),
78', 3 - 1, Sowden-Fletcher Z. ⚽,

Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12th and 9th).

St Albans has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Burgess Hill is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

St Albans may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, St Albans has faced a series of away games on the road.

Bookmakers give the edge to St Albans for this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, St Albans has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 4:4 (averaging 2:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for St Albans against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 3:4 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	St. Albans	10	6	2	2	21:14	7	20
11	Burgess Hill	13	5	5	3	24:20	4	20

Last Results with these Odds

St Albans City - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 56.71%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St Albans City
English FA Trophy
24.10.26	Whitehawk - St Albans City	1:0 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
10.10.26	Carshalton Athletic - St Albans City	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
03.10.26	Harborough Town - St Albans City	3:2 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
15.09.26	Cray Wanderers - St Albans City	3:3 ✺
12.09.26	St Albans City - Three Bridges	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWLTW
- Burgess Hill Town
English Isthmian League Premier Division
21.10.26	Whyteleafe - Burgess Hill Town	2:3 ✺
17.10.26	Welling United - Burgess Hill Town	4:2 ✺
13.10.26	Burgess Hill Town - Dulwich Hamlet	2:0 ✺
10.10.26	Burgess Hill Town - Aveley	1:1 ✺
03.10.26	Burgess Hill Town - Maldon & Tiptree	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
07.02.26	Burgess Hill Town - St Albans City	0:1
25.11.25	St Albans City - Burgess Hill Town	3:4

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