Match Info

National League South - Round 41

Date: 29 March 2025, Saturday


	St Albans City		Farnborough

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.2	2.65
	2.44	3.35	2.7
	2.5	3.38	2.7	Watch
	2.49	3.44	2.66
	2.44	3.35	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↓ (2.62)	3.34 ↓ (3.35)	2.68 ↑ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St Albans City
37.9%

Draw
27.6%

Farnborough
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

27.5%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

26.7%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St Albans City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Farnborough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St Albans City than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Farnborough than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

St Albans City - Farnborough Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, Wall A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches St Albans won 3.

Recent matches St Albans is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Farnborough is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

St Albans could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

St Albans will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches St Albans won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:8 (average 1.4:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams St Albans won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:4 (average 2:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

St Albans City - the odds 2.62 are the expected chance of winning is 35.31%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St Albans City
English National League South
22.03.25	St Albans City - Hornchurch	1:1 ✺
18.03.25	St Albans City - Hampton & Richmond Borough	2:1 ✺
15.03.25	Chesham United - St Albans City	1:0 ✺
10.03.25	Chelmsford City - St Albans City	2:1 ✺
08.03.25	St Albans City - Weymouth	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TWLLT
- Farnborough
English National League South
22.03.25	Eastbourne Borough - Farnborough	4:0 ✺
15.03.25	Farnborough - Welling United	2:1 ✺
11.03.25	Farnborough - Boreham Wood	0:2 ✺
08.03.25	Slough Town - Farnborough	1:1 ✺
04.03.25	Farnborough - Hornchurch	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
31.08.24	Farnborough - St Albans City	1:0
06.01.24	St Albans City - Farnborough	2:1
14.10.23	Farnborough - St Albans City	2:1
29.04.23	St Albans City - Farnborough	2:0
24.09.22	Farnborough - St Albans City	1:2
17.11.14	St Albans City - Farnborough	2:3
16.08.14	Farnborough - St Albans City	0:1

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