Match Info

AUSTRALIA: NPL VICTORIA - ROUND 24

Date: 29 July 2023, Saturday


	St Albans Dinamo		North Geelong Warriors

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	3.6	3
	2.08	3.83	3.09
	1.85	3.4	3.4
	2.01	3.62	3.2	Watch
	2.08	3.55	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.77)	3.6 ↓ (3.75)	3.13 ↓ (3.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St Albans Dinamo
45.4%

Draw
25.4%

North Geelong Warriors
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

24.3%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

23.9%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St Albans Dinamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that St Albans Dinamo's form might have worsened.

North Geelong Warriors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St Albans Dinamo than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for St Albans Dinamo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Geelong Warriors than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for North Geelong Warriors, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

St Albans Dinamo - North Geelong Warriors Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. St Albans will win (votes: 4 - 80%). North Geelong will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 11 and 13 in the zone Relegation).

St Albans has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

North Geelong is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently St Albans have a series of home games.

St Albans will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches St Albans won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams St Albans won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St Albans Dinamo
Australian NPL Victoria
23.07.23	St Albans Dinamo - Avondale	1:2 ✺
16.07.23	St Albans Dinamo - Altona Magic	1:4 ✺
07.07.23	St Albans Dinamo - Port Melbourne Sharks	0:2 ✺
30.06.23	St Albans Dinamo - Bentleigh Greens	0:2 ✺
20.06.23	South Melbourne - St Albans Dinamo	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- North Geelong Warriors
Australian NPL Victoria
22.07.23	North Geelong Warriors - Heidelberg United	0:0 ✺
15.07.23	Dandenong Thunder - North Geelong Warriors	6:0 ✺
09.07.23	North Geelong Warriors - Melbourne Knights	0:3 ✺
30.06.23	Green Gully - North Geelong Warriors	3:1 ✺
24.06.23	North Geelong Warriors - Moreland City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Victoria
29.04.23	North Geelong Warriors - St Albans Dinamo	1:0
30.07.17	St Albans Dinamo - North Geelong Warriors	1:1
29.04.17	North Geelong Warriors - St Albans Dinamo	2:2

St Albans Dinamo - North Geelong Warriors: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide