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Current Win Probability
St Patricks Athletic 9.2%
Draw 16.7%
Beşiktaş 74.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
10.7%
18.3%
71%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.5%
9.1%
35.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St Patricks Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
Beşiktaş has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for St Patricks Athletic than the current prediction. (+12.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for St Patricks Athletic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beşiktaş than the current prediction. (-38.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Beşiktaş, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
15%
5%
80%
St Patricks Athletic - Beşiktaş Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. St Patricks (votes: 1 - 10%). Beşiktaş (votes: 7 - 70%). Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 3 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
AH +1.5 - St Patricks (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
EH -1 - Beşiktaş (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH -1 - Beşiktaş (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Beşiktaş will win
(16 of 20 users predict this - 80%). Confidence interval (95%): 62.47% – 97.53%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. St Patricks (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Beşiktaş (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
94. Anang J. (G) 23. McLaughlin R. 4. Redmond J. (C) 5. Grivosti T. 11. McClelland J. 8. Forrester C. 6. Lennon J. 10. Leavy K. 20. Mulraney J. 9. Melia M. 25. Power S.
1. Gunok M. (C) 2. Svensson J. 3. Gabriel Paulista 53. Topcu E. 39. Jurasek D. 5. Tiknaz D. E. 10. Kokcu O. 23. Muci E. 27. Rafa Silva 18. Joao Mario 9. Abraham T.
Substitutes
19. Baggley B. 15. Carty C. 22. Garrick J. 31. Hayes B. 14. Kavanagh B. 30. Kazeem A. 49. Molloy S. (G) 29. Quigley K. 26. Robinson D. 1. Rogers D. (G) 21. Sjoberg A. 24. Turner L.
28. Al Musrati 11. Arroyo K. 33. Bilgin E. (G) 75. Bingol T. 30. Destanoglu E. (G) 6. Hadziahmetovic A. 17. Kayra Yilmaz K. 24. Sanuc T. T. 79. Terzi E. 8. Ucan S. 20. Uysal N.
Coaches
Kenny S.
Solskjaer O. G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 4)
8', 0 - 1, Joao Mario ⚽, Rafa Silva (A),
14', 0 - 2, Abraham T. ⚽,
18', Mulraney J. 🟨,
23', 0 - 3, Abraham T. ⚽, Joao Mario (A),
33', Tiknaz D. E. 🟨,
43', 0 - 4, Abraham T. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Rafa Silva ↓, Bingol T. ↑,
46', Mulraney J. ↓, Sjoberg A. ↑,
46', Grivosti T. ↓, Turner L. ↑,
49', 1 - 4, Power S. ⚽, McClelland J. (A),
59', Muci E. ↓, Arroyo K. ↑,
76', Tiknaz D. E. ↓, Kayra Yilmaz K. ↑,
82', Forrester C. ↓, Baggley B. ↑,
82', Leavy K. ↓, Carty C. ↑,
88', Melia M. ↓, Kavanagh B. ↑,
90', Jurasek D. ↓, Sanuc T. T. ↑,
90', Kokcu O. ↓, Hadziahmetovic A. ↑,
Preview
1st leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Tallaght Stadium.
St Patricks is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Beşiktaş has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
St Patricks may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Beşiktaş is the undeniable favorite.
We predict that St Patricks will win today's game, with odds of 10.66.