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Current Win Probability
Waterford 18.7%
Draw 22%
St Patricks Athletic 59.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
17.1%
22.6%
60.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
18.2%
21.2%
56.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Waterford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
St Patricks Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Waterford than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for St Patricks Athletic than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
8.3%
25%
66.7%
Waterford - St Patricks Athletic Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Waterford will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). St Patricks will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for St Patricks: 40% – 93.4%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
1. McMullan S. (G) 16. Cann H. 5. Mahon J. 3. Couto B. 2. Houston J. 19. Glenfield S. 4. Johnson W. 10. Noonan C. 20. Voilas J. 9. Amond P. (C) 18. Lonergan T.
94. Anang J. (G) 4. Redmond J. (C) 2. Hoare S. 24. Turner L. 23. Brown J. 6. Lennon J. 17. Palmer R. 9. Keena A. 10. Leavy K. 27. Edmondson R. 11. McClelland J.
Substitutes
32. Amedu G. 11. Coyle T. 14. Dempsey J. 21. Doherty A. (G) 17. Faria J. 15. Heeney L. 27. McMenamy D. 44. Murphy M. 50. O'Brien N.
19. Baggley B. 3. Breslin A. 8. Forrester C. 5. Grivosti T. 16. Nugent D. 42. Nzingo G. 1. Rogers D. (G) 35. Rooney S. 48. Sheridan R.
Coaches
Coughlan G.
Kenny S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Mahon J. 🟨,
21', Palmer R. ↓, Baggley B. ↑,
32', Voilas J. 🟨,
40', 1 - 0, Noonan C. ⚽, Lonergan T. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', McClelland J. ↓, Breslin A. ↑,
51', Turner L. 🟨,
55', Houston J. 🟨,
61', Redmond J. 🟨,
69', Turner L. ↓, Forrester C. ↑,
77', Brown J. ↓, Nugent D. ↑,
78', Edmondson R. ↓, Rooney S. ↑,
83', Amond P. ↓, McMenamy D. ↑,
89', Noonan C. ↓, Coyle T. ↑,
90+5', 1 - 1, Keena A. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Waterford won 0.
Waterford is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
St Patricks has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, St Patricks is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Waterford: Armstrong F.
(Muscle Injury)
McLaughlin E.
(Foot Injury)
There will not play in St Patricks: Anang J.
(International duty)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Waterford won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:26. (average 1.3:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Waterford won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.1:1.1).