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Current Win Probability
Nõmme Kalju 22.6%
Draw 25.6%
St Patricks Athletic 51.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.5%
28.1%
44.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.5%
28.1%
44.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nõmme Kalju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
St Patricks Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting St Patricks Athletic's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nõmme Kalju than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for St Patricks Athletic than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for St Patricks Athletic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
3.6%
10.7%
85.7%
Nõmme Kalju - St Patricks Athletic Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
AH -0.5 - St Patricks (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
St Patricks Athletic will win
(22 of 26 users predict this - 84.62%). Confidence interval (95%): 70.75% – 98.49%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): St Patricks Athletic will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. St Patricks (votes: 12 - 80%). Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
69. Pavlov M. (G) 7. Tarassenkov D. 5. Korre U. 20. Tambedou M. (C) 22. Nikolajev A. 8. Musolitin O. 29. Patrikejevs I. 10. Ivanov N. 6. Kask K. 27. Mannilaan M. 87. Guilherme Smith
94. Anang J. (G) 23. McLaughlin R. 4. Redmond J. (C) 5. Grivosti T. 11. McClelland J. 19. Baggley B. 6. Lennon J. 10. Leavy K. 20. Mulraney J. 9. Melia M. 25. Power S.
Substitutes
21. Baptista T. 4. Boronilstsikov A. 30. Jabir I. 3. Liit S. 17. Lotar Eyang E. E. 79. Marin P. 11. Orlov M. 1. Perk H. (G) 50. Podholjuzin M.
3. Breslin A. 15. Carty C. 8. Forrester C. 31. Hayes B. 14. Kavanagh B. 30. Kazeem A. 18. Keena A. 49. Molloy S. (G) 1. Rogers D. (G) 21. Sjoberg A. 24. Turner L.
Coaches
Andreev N.
Kenny S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
21', Ivanov N. 🟨,
25', Kask K. 🟨,
35', Redmond J. 🟨,
43', 1 - 0, Patrikejevs I. ⚽, Kask K. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Melia M. ↓, Keena A. ↑,
49', 2 - 0, Mannilaan M. ⚽, Ivanov N. (A),
51', Baggley B. ↓, Forrester C. ↑,
58', Kenny S. 🟨,
72', Leavy K. ↓, Kavanagh B. ↑,
72', Keena A. ↓, Carty C. ↑,
80', Ivanov N. ↓, Marin P. ↑,
87', Guilherme Smith ↓, Jabir I. ↑,
90', Patrikejevs I. 🟨,
90+1', 2 - 1, Redmond J. ⚽,
Extra Time (0 - 1)
93', 2 - 2, Mulraney J. ⚽,
96', Kask K. ↓, Lotar Eyang E. E. ↑,
96', McClelland J. ↓, Breslin A. ↑,
106', Mulraney J. ↓, Kazeem A. ↑,
106', Patrikejevs I. ↓, Baptista T. ↑,
106', Power S. 🟨,
109', Andreev N. 🟨,
112', Musolitin O. ↓, Orlov M. ↑,
Preview
1st leg result: 0-1. 2nd leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - A. Le Coq Arena.
Recent performances by Nõmme Kalju have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
St Patricks is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Recently, St Patricks has had a series of home games.
In this match, St Patricks is the team to beat.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nõmme Kalju won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
United-kingdom
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Pavlov M. (G) 
Tarassenkov D. 
Tambedou M. (C) 
Musolitin O. 
Patrikejevs I. 
Guilherme Smith 
Anang J. (G) 
McLaughlin R. 
Redmond J. (C) 
Grivosti T. 
Baptista T. 
Lotar Eyang E. E. 
Sjoberg A. 
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