Match Info
Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finalsDate: 31 July 2025, ThursdayLocation: A. Le Coq Arena (Tallinn)Referee: Menelaos A. (Cyp)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 United-kingdom | Solidsport TV |
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Nõmme Kalju |
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St Patricks Athletic |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Nõmme Kalju
22.6% | Draw
25.6% | St Patricks Athletic
51.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nõmme Kalju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)St Patricks Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting St Patricks Athletic's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nõmme Kalju than the current prediction. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for St Patricks Athletic than the current prediction. (-7.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for St Patricks Athletic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- AH -0.5 - St Patricks (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
St Patricks Athletic will win
(22 of 26 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.75% – 98.49%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): St Patricks Athletic will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. St Patricks (votes: 12 - 80%). Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
69.  Pavlov M. (G)
7.  Tarassenkov D.
5. Korre U.
20.  Tambedou M. (C)
22. Nikolajev A.
8.  Musolitin O.
29.  Patrikejevs I.
10. Ivanov N.
6. Kask K.
27. Mannilaan M.
87.  Guilherme Smith
| 94.  Anang J. (G)
23.  McLaughlin R.
4.  Redmond J. (C)
5.  Grivosti T.
11. McClelland J.
19. Baggley B.
6. Lennon J.
10. Leavy K.
20. Mulraney J.
9. Melia M.
25. Power S.
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| Substitutes |
21.  Baptista T.
4. Boronilstsikov A.
30. Jabir I.
3. Liit S.
17.  Lotar Eyang E. E.
79. Marin P.
11. Orlov M.
1. Perk H. (G)
50. Podholjuzin M.
| 3. Breslin A.
15. Carty C.
8. Forrester C.
31. Hayes B.
14. Kavanagh B.
30. Kazeem A.
18. Keena A.
49. Molloy S. (G)
1. Rogers D. (G)
21.  Sjoberg A.
24. Turner L.
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| Coaches |
Andreev N.
| Kenny S.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 21', Ivanov N. 🟨,
- 25', Kask K. 🟨,
- 35', Redmond J. 🟨,
- 43', 1 - 0, Patrikejevs I. ⚽, Kask K. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Melia M. ↓, Keena A. ↑,
- 49', 2 - 0, Mannilaan M. ⚽, Ivanov N. (A),
- 51', Baggley B. ↓, Forrester C. ↑,
- 58', Kenny S. 🟨,
- 72', Leavy K. ↓, Kavanagh B. ↑,
- 72', Keena A. ↓, Carty C. ↑,
- 80', Ivanov N. ↓, Marin P. ↑,
- 87', Guilherme Smith ↓, Jabir I. ↑,
- 90', Patrikejevs I. 🟨,
- 90+1', 2 - 1, Redmond J. ⚽,
- Extra Time (0 - 1)
- 93', 2 - 2, Mulraney J. ⚽,
- 96', Kask K. ↓, Lotar Eyang E. E. ↑,
- 96', McClelland J. ↓, Breslin A. ↑,
- 106', Mulraney J. ↓, Kazeem A. ↑,
- 106', Patrikejevs I. ↓, Baptista T. ↑,
- 106', Power S. 🟨,
- 109', Andreev N. 🟨,
- 112', Musolitin O. ↓, Orlov M. ↑,
Preview
1st leg result: 0-1. 2nd leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - A. Le Coq Arena.Recent performances by Nõmme Kalju have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).St Patricks is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).Recently, St Patricks has had a series of home games. In this match, St Patricks is the team to beat.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nõmme Kalju won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
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