Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Final

Date: 27 August 2026, Thursday

Location: Vare Areena (Kuopio)

Referee: Kolaric P. (Cro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Finland	KuPS TV
Germany	Laola1
United-kingdom	Solidsport TV
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	KuPS Kuopio		Shamrock Rovers

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.2	3.3
	1.95	3.20	3.60
	2.05	3.15	3.45	Watch
	2.12	3.3	3.68
	1.99	3.46	3.82	Watch
	2.16	3.1	3.35
	2.09	3.35	3.64	Watch
	2.09	3.3	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (2.05)	3.26 ↓ (3.3)	3.54 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KuPS Kuopio
45.1%

Draw
28.6%

Shamrock Rovers
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KuPS Kuopio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Shamrock Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KuPS Kuopio than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shamrock Rovers than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
74.4%	17.9%	7.7%

KuPS Kuopio - Shamrock Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. KuPS will win (votes: 29 - 76.3%). Shamrock will win (votes: 3 - 7.9%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 15.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for KuPS: 62.8% – 89.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - under (1.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): KuPS Kuopio will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kreidl J. (G) 6. Savolainen S. 28. Magassa B. 4. Adams K. 25. Antwi C. 10. Gasc V. R. 8. Pennanen P. (C) 21. Luyeye-Lutumba J. 16. Jyry T. 24. Armah B. 20. Parzyszek P.	1. McGinty E. (G) 5. Grace L. 4. Lopes R. (C) 3. Stevens E. 22. Sobowale T. 7. Watts D. 8. Healy M. 26. O'Sullivan J. 24. Fitzgerald W. 18. Afolabi J. 9. Greene A.
Substitutes
9. Engvall G. 33. Hamalainen T. 17. Heinonen A. 30. Jorginho 13. Kujasalo N. 23. Lotjonen A. 11. Moreno Ciorciari J. J. 14. Pasanen S. 29. Puukko A. 12. Riihimaki H. (G) 37. Silen K. (G) 22. Touray S.	15. Asamoah M. 19. Brennan A. 10. Burke G. 29. Byrne J. 34. Mahon B. 11. Mulraney J. 41. Noonan A. (G) 31. Noonan M. 17. O'Regan L. 27. O'Sullivan C. 25. Steacy L. (G)
Coaches
Nuutinen M.	Bradley S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', O'Sullivan J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', Luyeye-Lutumba J. ↓, Engvall G. ↑,
63', Afolabi J. ↓, Burke G. ↑,
63', O'Sullivan J. ↓, Byrne J. ↑,
65', Healy M. 🟨,
69', Savolainen S. ↓, Puukko A. ↑,
69', Gasc V. R. ↓, Touray S. ↑,
73', Lopes R. 🟨,
75', 1 - 0, Lopes R. (Own goal),
82', Greene A. ↓, Noonan M. ↑,
82', Watts D. ↓, Brennan A. ↑,
87', Magassa B. 🟨,
88', Parzyszek P. ↓, Moreno Ciorciari J. J. ↑,
90+3', McGinty E. 🟨,

Preview

First leg result: 1-1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Shamrock may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, KuPS is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, KuPS won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Outrights of UEFA Europa Conference League for now

KuPS: 0.3%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KuPS Kuopio
Finnish Veikkausliiga
23.08.26	KuPS Kuopio - IFK Mariehamn	2:4 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
20.08.26	Shamrock Rovers - KuPS Kuopio	1:1 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
16.08.26	Lahti - KuPS Kuopio	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
13.08.26	Universitatea Craiova - KuPS Kuopio	2:1 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
09.08.26	KuPS Kuopio - TPS	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LTWLT
- Shamrock Rovers
UEFA Europa Conference League
20.08.26	Shamrock Rovers - KuPS Kuopio	1:1 ✺
Irish FAI Cup
16.08.26	St Patricks Athletic - Shamrock Rovers	3:2 AET ✺
UEFA Europa League
13.08.26	Egnatia Rrogozhinë - Shamrock Rovers	5:1 ✺
Irish Premier Division
07.08.26	Shamrock Rovers - Dundalk	3:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
04.08.26	Shamrock Rovers - Egnatia Rrogozhinë	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
20.08.26	Shamrock Rovers - KuPS Kuopio	1:1

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