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Current Win Probability
Shelbourne 27.7%
Draw 27.8%
St Patricks Athletic 44.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.8%
27.9%
41.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.2%
27.4%
42.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shelbourne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
St Patricks Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shelbourne than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for St Patricks Athletic than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40%
20%
40%
Shelbourne - St Patricks Athletic Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Shelbourne will win (votes: 2 - 40%). St Patricks will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Shelbourne (2.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Shelbourne (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
19. Beach E. (G) 25. Mbeng M. 16. Casey O. 15. Bone S. 18. Norris J. 21. Henry-Francis J. 23. McInroy K. (C) 14. Coote A. 27. Caffrey E. 17. Kelly D. 20. Freitas R.
94. Anang J. (G) 4. Redmond J. (C) 2. Hoare S. 24. Turner L. 23. Brown J. 16. Nugent D. 6. Lennon J. 8. Forrester C. 11. McClelland J. 21. Olusanya A. 9. Keena A.
Substitutes
29. Barrett P. 2. Gannon S. 36. Jarvis W. 13. Johnson M. (G) 4. Ledwidge K. 6. Lunney J. 22. Moore S. 44. Ring D. 55. Roche J.
19. Baggley B. 3. Breslin A. 37. Byrne J. 27. Edmondson R. 33. McHale S. 25. Power S. 1. Rogers D. (G) 35. Rooney S. 48. Sheridan R.
Coaches
Russell J.
Kenny S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Olusanya A. ⚽, Keena A. (A),
10', Coote A. 🟨,
12', Olusanya A. 🟨,
34', 0 - 2, Brown J. ⚽,
45+2', Freitas R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Henry-Francis J. ↓, Lunney J. ↑,
46', Coote A. ↓, Moore S. ↑,
58', Russell J. 🟥,
59', Keena A. ↓, Edmondson R. ↑,
66', Olusanya A. ↓, Sheridan R. ↑,
70', 1 - 2, Norris J. ⚽, Mbeng M. (A),
71', Bone S. ↓, Barrett P. ↑,
71', Norris J. ↓, Ledwidge K. ↑,
76', McClelland J. ↓, Breslin A. ↑,
76', Forrester C. ↓, Baggley B. ↑,
77', Freitas R. 🟨,
81', Lennon J. 🟨,
82', Casey O. 🟨,
83', Kelly D. ↓, Jarvis W. ↑,
90+2', Sheridan R. 🟨,
90+6', Edmondson R. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shelbourne won 2.
Shelbourne is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
St Patricks's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
St Patricks may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Shelbourne has had a series of away games.
St Patricks might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Shelbourne: Martin J.
(Knock)
There will not play in St Patricks: Boyce R.
(Injury)
Power S.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in St Patricks: Elbouzedi Z.
(Injury)
Mata M. A.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shelbourne won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:29. (average 1.1:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Shelbourne won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 1.4:1.8).