Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Final

Date: 20 August 2026, Thursday

Location: Tallaght Stadium (Dublin)

Referee: Krogh M. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Finland	KuPS TV
Germany	Laola1
World	LOI TV


	Shamrock Rovers		KuPS Kuopio

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.10	3.25	Watch
	2.10	3.10	3.25
	2.20	3.35	3.25	Watch
	2.16	3.37	3.34
	2.25	3.46	3.14	Watch
	2.11	3.30	3.25
	2.24	3.23	3.38	Watch
	2.19	3.25	3.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (2.02)	3.27 ↓ (3.5)	3.27 ↓ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shamrock Rovers
42.9%

Draw
28.5%

KuPS Kuopio
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

26.6%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

26.8%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shamrock Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

KuPS Kuopio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shamrock Rovers than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KuPS Kuopio than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	25%	12.5%

Shamrock Rovers - KuPS Kuopio Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Shamrock will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). KuPS will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shamrock: 29% – 96%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - draw (1.27) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. McGinty E. (G) 5. Grace L. 4. Lopes R. (C) 3. Stevens E. 22. Sobowale T. 7. Watts D. 8. Healy M. 29. Byrne J. 24. Fitzgerald W. 18. Afolabi J. 10. Burke G.	1. Kreidl J. (G) 6. Savolainen S. 28. Magassa B. 4. Adams K. 25. Antwi C. 10. Gasc V. R. 22. Touray S. 16. Jyry T. 8. Pennanen P. (C) 24. Armah B. 11. Moreno Ciorciari J. J.
Substitutes
15. Asamoah M. 19. Brennan A. 9. Greene A. 34. Mahon B. 14. Mandroiu D. 11. Mulraney J. 41. Noonan A. (G) 31. Noonan M. 17. O'Regan L. 27. O'Sullivan C. 26. O'Sullivan J. 25. Steacy L. (G)	9. Engvall G. 33. Hamalainen T. 17. Heinonen A. 30. Jorginho 13. Kujasalo N. 23. Lotjonen A. 21. Luyeye-Lutumba J. 20. Parzyszek P. 14. Pasanen S. 29. Puukko A. 12. Riihimaki H. (G) 37. Silen K. (G)
Coaches
Bradley S.	Nuutinen M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 1 - 0, Stevens E. ⚽,
58', Pennanen P. ↓, Parzyszek P. ↑,
58', Moreno Ciorciari J. J. ↓, Luyeye-Lutumba J. ↑,
68', Burke G. ↓, Noonan M. ↑,
68', Byrne J. ↓, Mandroiu D. ↑,
69', Afolabi J. ↓, Greene A. ↑,
69', Touray S. 🟨,
77', Touray S. ↓, Engvall G. ↑,
80', Sobowale T. ↓, Brennan A. ↑,
85', 1 - 1, Parzyszek P. ⚽, Antwi C. (A),
87', Armah B. ↓, Kujasalo N. ↑,
90+3', Jyry T. 🟨,

Preview

First leg.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

KuPS may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Shamrock might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Outrights of UEFA Europa Conference League for now

KuPS: 0.3%

Last Results with these Odds

Shamrock Rovers - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 46.06%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shamrock Rovers
Irish FAI Cup
16.08.26	St Patricks Athletic - Shamrock Rovers	3:2 AET ✺
UEFA Europa League
13.08.26	Egnatia Rrogozhinë - Shamrock Rovers	5:1 ✺
Irish Premier Division
07.08.26	Shamrock Rovers - Dundalk	3:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
04.08.26	Shamrock Rovers - Egnatia Rrogozhinë	3:1 ✺
Irish Premier Division
31.07.26	Drogheda United - Shamrock Rovers	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWWT
- KuPS Kuopio
Finnish Veikkausliiga
16.08.26	Lahti - KuPS Kuopio	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
13.08.26	Universitatea Craiova - KuPS Kuopio	2:1 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
09.08.26	KuPS Kuopio - TPS	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.08.26	KuPS Kuopio - Universitatea Craiova	1:1 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
01.08.26	Gnistan - KuPS Kuopio	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLTTW

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