Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 4

Date: 28 November 2024, Thursday

Location: Kybunpark (St. Gallen)

Referee: Pignard J. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	Disney+


	St. Gallen		Bačka Topola

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.5	7
	1.42	4.6	5.75
	1.44	5	6	Watch
	1.47	4.99	6.02
	1.45	4.97	5.81	Watch
	1.33	5	6.5
	1.45	5.09	6.72
	1.44	5	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.5)	4.89 ↑ (3.6)	6.23 ↑ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. Gallen
65.7%

Draw
19.2%

Bačka Topola
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

25%

15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4%

24%

14.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Gallen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in St. Gallen's performance.

Bačka Topola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Gallen than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bačka Topola than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	18.2%	9.1%

St. Gallen - Bačka Topola Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. St. Gallen will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Bačka Topola will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for St. Gallen: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ati Zigi L. (G) 28. Vandermersch H. 15. Diaby A. 20. Vallci A. 36. Okoroji C. 16. Gortler L. (C) 64. Stevanovic M. 63. Konietzke C. 24. Toma B. 7. Witzig C. 11. Cisse M.	12. Ilic V. (G) 22. Jovanovic S. 25. Djordjevic M. 5. Stevanovic D. 30. Petrovic N. (C) 6. Pejic A. 35. Djakovac I. 14. Stanic P. 18. Banjac M. 27. Pantovic M. 10. Cirkovic A.
Substitutes
10. Akolo C. 5. Ambrosius S. 77. Csoboth K. 35. Dumrath B. (G) 22. Faber K. 18. Mambimbi F. 14. Noah Yannick 8. Quintilla J. 30. Ruiz V. 4. Stanic J. 25. Watkowiak L. (G)	31. Capan L. 24. Gordic D. 23. Jorgic N. (G) 4. Krstic V. 9. Lazetic M. 11. Milosavljevic I. 1. Simic N. (G) 88. Sos B.
Coaches
Maassen E.	Damjanovic J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', Petrovic N. 🟨,
31', 1 - 0, Cisse M. ⚽, Witzig C. (A),
40', 1 - 1, Pantovic M. ⚽, Petrovic N. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', Vandermersch H. 🟨,
52', Maassen E. 🟨,
53', 1 - 2, Pantovic M. ⚽, Cirkovic A. (A),
56', Gortler L. 🟨,
65', 2 - 2, Konietzke C. ⚽, Vandermersch H. (A),
65', Ilic V. 🟨,
66', Banjac M. ↓, Milosavljevic I. ↑,
70', Cisse M. ↓, Akolo C. ↑,
70', Witzig C. ↓, Mambimbi F. ↑,
74', Toma B. ↓, Csoboth K. ↑,
85', Stanic P. ↓, Lazetic M. ↑,
89', Cirkovic A. ↓, Sos B. ↑,
90', Konietzke C. ↓, Ruiz V. ↑,

Preview

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Bačka Topola could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match St. Gallen is absolute favorite.

There will not play in St. Gallen: Fazliji B. (Knee Injury) Karlen G. (Knee Injury) Mambimbi F. (Concussion) Milosevic J. (Injury) Nuhu M. (Injury)

There will not play in Bačka Topola: Kuveljic N. (Knee Injury) Radin M. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in St. Gallen: Ambrosius S. (Knock)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC St. Gallen
Swiss Super League
24.11.24	St. Gallen - Yverdon	0:0 ✺
10.11.24	Grasshoppers - St. Gallen	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.11.24	Larne - St. Gallen	1:2 ✺
Swiss Super League
02.11.24	St. Gallen - Sion	1:1 ✺
30.10.24	St. Gallen - Winterthur	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TWWTT
- TSC Bačka Topola
Serbian Superliga
10.11.24	Železničar Pančevo - Bačka Topola	3:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.11.24	Bačka Topola - Lugano	4:1 ✺
Serbian Superliga
03.11.24	Bačka Topola - Partizan	1:2 ✺
Serbian Cup
30.10.24	Vršac - Bačka Topola	1:2 penalties ✺
Serbian Superliga
27.10.24	Napredak Kruševac - Bačka Topola	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TWLWW

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