The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Thun 49.4%
Draw 24.1%
St. Gallen 26.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.1%
25%
27.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.2%
23.5%
26.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Thun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
St. Gallen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thun than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Gallen than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
74.2%
12.9%
12.9%
Thun - St. Gallen Predictions
Users Predictions:
31 users predict this event. Thun will win (votes: 23 - 74.2%). St. Gallen will win (votes: 4 - 12.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 12.9%). Confidence interval (95%) for Thun: 58.8% – 89.6%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Thun will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
24. Steffen N. (G) 47. Fehr F. 4. Montolio G. 19. Bamert J. 23. Burki M. (C) 7. Imeri K. 6. Bertone L. 14. Kait M. 78. Matoshi V. 96. Labeau B. 74. Rastoder E.
1. Ati Zigi L. (G) 26. Gaal T. 3. Kleine-Bekel C. 36. Okoroji C. 10. Daschner L. 28. Vandermersch H. 16. Gortler L. (C) 11. Boukhalfa C. 7. Witzig C. 18. Vogt A. 14. Balde A.
Substitutes
37. Dahler L. 9. Dursun F. 27. Heule M. 18. Ibayi C. 77. Meichtry F. 70. Reichmuth N. 16. Roth J. 20. Rupp N. 25. Spycher T. (G)
69. Besio D. 21. Efekele M. 63. Konietzke C. 72. May C. 77. Ouattara T. 74. Ruiz J. 64. Stevanovic M. 25. Watkowiak L. (G) 66. Weibel N.
Coaches
Lustrinelli M.
Maassen E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
3', Imeri K. 🟨,
11', Balde A. 🟨,
11', Burki M. 🟨,
22', Vandermersch H. 🟨,
37', Bamert J. 🟨,
37', 0 - 1, Gortler L. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
50', Matoshi V. 🟨,
55', 1 - 1, Bertone L. (Penalty Awarded),
62', 2 - 1, Montolio G. ⚽, Imeri K. (A),
69', Balde A. ↓, Besio D. ↑,
72', Kait M. ↓, Roth J. ↑,
72', Imeri K. ↓, Meichtry F. ↑,
77', Matoshi V. ↓, Reichmuth N. ↑,
77', Labeau B. ↓, Ibayi C. ↑,
81', Boukhalfa C. ↓, Weibel N. ↑,
82', Vogt A. ↓, Ouattara T. ↑,
83', Bertone L. 🟨,
88', Rastoder E. ↓, Dursun F. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 2, Witzig C. ⚽,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )).
Thun is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Thun won 2.
Thun has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
St. Gallen is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Thun could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Thun won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 26:39. (average 1.3:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Thun won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:23. (average 1.3:2.1).